Sunday, June 26, 2016

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Luis Perdomo vs. Anthony DeSclafani

The San Diego Padres head to Great American Ball Park on Sunday to take on the Cincinnati Reds. The probable pitchers are Luis Perdomo for the Padres and Anthony DeSclafani for the Reds. The opening line for this game has San Diego at +123 and Cincinnati at -133. The over/under is 10. The Padres have a 39-34-2 over/under mark and a 45-30-0 run line record, meaning they cover 60% of the time. The Reds are 38-36-0 against the run line and have a 42-26-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.

The Padres head into this game with a 32-43 record, and they are 14-21 on the road. Starting pitcher Luis Perdomo has a 2-2 record with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.11. He has 43 strikeouts during his 47 innings pitched and he has given up 76 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 14.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.45. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.28 and they have allowed 252 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the pen while they've been struck out 270 times and walked 117 times this year. As a unit, San Diego has given up 8.85 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.37 hitters per nine. They are 23rd in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.51. The Padres pitchers have collectively given up 663 base hits and 338 earned runs. They have allowed 83 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 292 batters and struck out 627. They walk 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.30.

As a team, San Diego is hitting .244, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .249 average on the road. The Padres have a .392 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .301 which is good for 28th in the league. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.33 hits per contest. Wil Myers comes into this game hitting .289 and his on-base percentage is at .340. He has 83 hits this season along with 49 runs scored and 50 runs batted in. He's struck out 63 times and has walked 24 times. Jon Jay is hitting .296 and he has an on-base percentage of .345. He has totaled 80 hits so far while scoring 35 runs and he's driven in 23. He has walked 16 times and has struck out 62 times. The Padres have 625 hits, including 123 doubles and 80 home runs. They've stolen 55 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. San Diego has walked 197 times this season and they've struck out 676 times as a unit. They've left 468 men on base and have a team OPS of .693. They score 4.31 runs per contest and have scored a total of 323 runs so far this year.

Cincinnati comes into this game with a 17-21 home mark and a 28-46 overall record. With an ERA of 2.30, Anthony DeSclafani has a 1-0 record and a 1.66 WHIP. He has 10 strikeouts over the 15.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 19 hits. He has allowed 10.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.05. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 6.21 and they have given up 291 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .275 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 230 times and walking 145 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.59 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.11 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.45. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 698 base knocks and 397 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 123 home runs this year and they give up 1.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 321 hitters and struck out 518. They give up a walk 4.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.56 while their FIP as a staff is 5.62.

As a team, they are batting .238, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .237 average at home. The Reds hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.91 hits per contest. Zack Cozart comes into this matchup batting .276 and he has an OBP of .318. He has 68 hits this year along with 41 runs scored and 31 RBI. He's struck out 36 times and has walked on 15 occasions. Jay Bruce is hitting .280 and he has an OBP of .330. He has collected 72 hits so far while he's scored 43 runs and drove in 57. He has earned a walk 18 times and has punched out 58 times. The Reds as a unit have 584 base hits, including 126 doubles and 85 homers. They have 50 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 25 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 190 times this year and they have struck out 624 times. They've had 402 men left on base and have an OPS of .703. They score 4.34 runs per game and have totaled 321 runs so far this season.

San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The San Diego Padres are 39-34-2 against the over/under so far this season

The San Diego Padres are 45-30-0 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 42-26-6 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 38-36-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

San Diego Padres

06/24/16 CF Jon Jay Forearm "?" Saturday vs. Cincinnati Reds
06/12/16 P Andrew Cashner Neck 15-day DL (6/11)
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 15-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 15-day DL (3/25)

Cincinnati Reds

06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/16)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Guy's Pick: Take the Reds

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn