Thursday, June 23, 2016

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Christian Friedrich vs. John Lamb

The San Diego Padres visit Great American Ball Park on Thursday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Christian Friedrich for the Padres and John Lamb for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has San Diego at +112 and Cincinnati at -122. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Padres have a 37-33-2 over/under record and a 43-29-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 60% of the time. The Reds are 38-33-0 against the run line and have a 39-26-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.

The Padres head into this matchup with a 30-42 record, including 12-20 on the road. Starting pitcher Christian Friedrich has a 3-2 record with an earned run average of 3.15 and a WHIP of 1.50. He has 34 strikeouts over his 40 innings pitched and he has given up 39 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.97. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.48 and they have given up 248 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen while being struck out 261 times and walking 114 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.41 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.54. The Padres pitchers have collectively given up 641 base hits and 327 earned runs. They have allowed 80 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 280 batters and struck out 606. They walk 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.28.

As a team, San Diego is batting .243, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .247 average away from home. The Padres hold a .389 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.29 hits per game. Wil Myers comes into this game hitting .290 and his on-base percentage is at .336. He has 80 hits this season along with 46 runs scored and 45 runs batted in. He's struck out 61 times and has walked 21 times. Jon Jay is hitting .296 and he has an on-base percentage of .345. He has totaled 80 hits so far while scoring 35 runs and he's driven in 23. He has walked 16 times and has struck out 62 times. The Padres have 597 hits, including 120 doubles and 74 home runs. They've stolen 49 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 18 times. San Diego has walked 183 times this season and they've struck out 646 times as a unit. They've left 450 men on base and have a team OPS of .688. They score 4.18 runs per contest and have scored a total of 301 runs so far this year.

Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 17-19 home record and a 28-43 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.75, John Lamb has a 1-4 record and a 1.52 WHIP. He has 30 strikeouts over the 47.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 51 hits. He has allowed 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.17. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.99 and they have given up 279 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .274 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 219 times and walking 141 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.58 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.06 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.32. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 670 base knocks and 372 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 115 home runs this year and they give up 1.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 310 hitters and struck out 494. They give up a walk 4.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.56 while their FIP as a staff is 5.57.

As a team, they are batting .240, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .240 average at home. The Reds hold a .410 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 7.97 hits per contest. Zack Cozart comes into this matchup batting .284 and he has an OBP of .325. He has 66 hits this year along with 39 runs scored and 30 RBI. He's struck out 33 times and has walked on 14 occasions. Jay Bruce is hitting .282 and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 69 hits so far while he's scored 41 runs and drove in 55. He has earned a walk 18 times and has punched out 55 times. The Reds as a unit have 565 base hits, including 121 doubles and 83 homers. They have 47 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 24 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 175 times this year and they have struck out 596 times. They've had 379 men left on base and have an OPS of .706. They score 4.35 runs per game and have totaled 309 runs so far this season.

San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The San Diego Padres are 37-33-2 against the over/under so far this season

The San Diego Padres are 43-29-0 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 39-26-6 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 38-33-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

San Diego Padres

06/21/16 CF Jon Jay Forearm "?" Wednesday vs. Baltimore Orioles
06/12/16 P Andrew Cashner Neck 15-day DL (6/11)
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 15-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 15-day DL (3/25)

Cincinnati Reds

06/22/16 P Blake Wood Personal out indefinitely
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/20/16 P Tim Adleman Oblique 15-day DL (5/20)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Guy's Pick: Take the Padres

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