Wednesday, June 1, 2016

Marlins Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jon Niese vs. Adam Conley

The Pittsburgh Pirates visit Marlins Park on Wednesday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Jon Niese for the Pirates and Adam Conley for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Pittsburgh at -114 and Miami at +104. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Pirates have a 32-17-1 over/under record and a 25-25-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Marlins are 25-26-0 against the run line and have a 27-23-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.

The Pirates head into this matchup with a 29-21 record, including 14-12 on the road. Starting pitcher Jon Niese has a 5-2 record with an earned run average of 4.42 and a WHIP of 1.42. He has 41 strikeouts over his 59 innings pitched and he has given up 65 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.48. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.99 and they have given up 161 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen while being struck out 129 times and walking 71 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 8.87 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.19 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.02. The Pirates pitchers have collectively given up 443 base hits and 201 earned runs. They have allowed 61 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 182 batters and struck out 359. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.62.

As a team, Pittsburgh is batting .284, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .274 average away from home. The Pirates hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .357 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 10.04 hits per game. Andrew McCutchen comes into this game hitting .256 and his on-base percentage is at .336. He has 51 hits this season along with 34 runs scored and 23 runs batted in. He's struck out 51 times and has walked 22 times. Starling Marte is hitting .326 and he has an on-base percentage of .369. He has totaled 62 hits so far while scoring 27 runs and he's driven in 19. He has walked 5 times and has struck out 43 times. The Pirates have 502 hits, including 98 doubles and 50 home runs. They've stolen 38 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 14 times. Pittsburgh has walked 175 times this season and they've struck out 389 times as a unit. They've left 401 men on base and have a team OPS of .795. They score 5.14 runs per contest and have scored a total of 257 runs so far this year.

Miami comes into this matchup with a 10-14 home record and a 26-25 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.15, Adam Conley has a 3-3 record and a 1.48 WHIP. He has 48 strikeouts over the 52 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 53 hits. He has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.69. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.88 and they have given up 157 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 161 times and walking 81 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.62 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.24 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.07. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 432 base knocks and 204 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 38 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 208 hitters and struck out 413. They give up a walk 4.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 3.88.

As a team, they are batting .272, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .259 average at home. The Marlins hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.33 hits per contest. Giancarlo Stanton comes into this matchup batting .214 and he has an OBP of .326. He has 33 hits this year along with 21 runs scored and 26 RBI. He's struck out 61 times and has walked on 25 occasions. Christian Yelich is hitting .308 and he has an OBP of .408. He has collected 48 hits so far while he's scored 24 runs and drove in 20. He has earned a walk 25 times and has punched out 30 times. The Marlins as a unit have 476 base hits, including 87 doubles and 46 homers. They have 13 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Miami as a team has walked 146 times this year and they have struck out 386 times. They've had 385 men left on base and have an OPS of .743. They score 3.96 runs per game and have totaled 202 runs so far this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 32-17-1 against the over/under so far this season

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 25-25-0 against the run line so far this season

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 27-23-1 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 25-26-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Pittsburgh Pirates

05/31/16 RF Gregory Polanco Shoulder probable Tuesday vs. Miami Marlins
05/26/16 P Arquimedes Caminero Quad 15-day DL (5/25)
05/24/16 P Ryan Vogelsong Eye 15-day DL (5/24)
03/31/16 C Elias Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Miami Marlins

05/31/16 SS Miguel Rojas Shoulder is not expected to be in the starting lineup Tuesday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
05/30/16 RF Giancarlo Stanton Side "?" Tuesday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
05/26/16 P Bryan Morris Back 15-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season

Josh's Pick: Take the Pirates

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