Saturday, September 17, 2016

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jameson Taillon vs. Anthony DeSclafani

The Pittsburgh Pirates visit Great American Ball Park on Saturday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Jameson Taillon for the Pirates and Anthony DeSclafani for the Reds. The Pirates have a 79-63-3 over/under record and a 67-78-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Reds are 77-68-0 against the run line and have a 76-59-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.

The Pirates head into this matchup with a 71-74 record, including 35-36 on the road. Starting pitcher Jameson Taillon has a 3-4 record with an earned run average of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.09. He has 72 strikeouts over his 88 innings pitched and he has given up 83 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.53. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.51 and they have given up 490 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen while being struck out 459 times and walking 205 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 9.17 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.51 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.17. The Pirates pitchers have collectively given up 1,328 base hits and 604 earned runs. They have allowed 160 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 479 batters and struck out 1,088. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.31.

As a team, Pittsburgh is batting .258, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .244 average away from home. The Pirates hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.81 hits per game. Andrew McCutchen comes into this game hitting .250 and his on-base percentage is at .331. He has 134 hits this season along with 75 runs scored and 66 runs batted in. He's struck out 133 times and has walked 60 times. Starling Marte is hitting .311 and he has an on-base percentage of .362. He has totaled 151 hits so far while scoring 71 runs and he's driven in 46. He has walked 23 times and has struck out 103 times. The Pirates have 1,278 hits, including 253 doubles and 138 home runs. They've stolen 102 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 43 times. Pittsburgh has walked 490 times this season and they've struck out 1,182 times as a unit. They've left 1,037 men on base and have a team OPS of .735. They score 4.5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 652 runs so far this year.

Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 36-38 home record and a 62-83 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.93, Anthony DeSclafani has a 8-3 record and a 1.16 WHIP. He has 94 strikeouts over the 107.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 102 hits. He has allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.81. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.96 and they have given up 503 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 466 times and walking 260 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.05 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.75 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.86. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,300 base knocks and 698 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 234 home runs this year and they give up 1.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 563 hitters and struck out 1,113. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 5.24.

As a team, they are batting .253, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .257 average at home. The Reds hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.55 hits per contest. Zack Cozart comes into this matchup batting .252 and he has an OBP of .308. He has 117 hits this year along with 67 runs scored and 50 RBI. He's struck out 84 times and has walked on 37 occasions. Joey Votto is hitting .318 and he has an OBP of .433. He has collected 155 hits so far while he's scored 89 runs and drove in 84. He has earned a walk 100 times and has punched out 113 times. The Reds as a unit have 1,239 base hits, including 249 doubles and 147 homers. They have 122 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 45 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 414 times this year and they have struck out 1,160 times. They've had 898 men left on base and have an OPS of .721. They score 4.39 runs per game and have totaled 637 runs so far this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 79-63-3 against the over/under so far this season

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 67-78-0 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 76-59-10 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 77-68-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Pittsburgh Pirates

09/15/16 LF Starling Marte Back "?" Friday vs. Cincinnati Reds
09/14/16 C Chris Stewart Knee 60-day DL (9/13)
09/14/16 C Elias Diaz Knee 60-day DL (9/13), out for season
09/14/16 P Gerrit Cole Elbow 60-day DL (9/13), out for season
09/12/16 2B Josh Harrison Groin 15-day DL (9/10), out for season

Cincinnati Reds

09/16/16 CF Billy Hamilton Oblique 15-day DL (9/5)
09/16/16 P Cody Reed Back 15-day DL (9/5)
09/15/16 SS Zack Cozart Knee "?" Friday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
09/14/16 P Alfredo Simon Shoulder 60-day DL (9/12)
09/09/16 P Homer Bailey Bicep out indefinitely
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)

Josh's Pick: Take the Pirates

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