Wednesday, May 11, 2016

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Francisco Liriano vs. Tim Adleman

The Pittsburgh Pirates visit Great American Ball Park on Wednesday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Francisco Liriano for the Pirates and Tim Adleman for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Pittsburgh at -139 and Cincinnati at +129. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Pirates have a 21-11-0 over/under record and a 16-16-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Reds are 15-18-0 against the run line and have a 19-12-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 46% of the time.

The Pirates head into this matchup with a 17-15 record, including 10-8 on the road. Starting pitcher Francisco Liriano has a 3-1 record with an earned run average of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.37. He has 39 strikeouts over his 35 innings pitched and he has given up 29 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.5. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.33 and they have given up 109 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen while being struck out 96 times and walking 57 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 8.86 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.87 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Pirates pitchers have collectively given up 287 base hits and 137 earned runs. They have allowed 40 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 137 batters and struck out 255. They walk 4.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 4.64.

As a team, Pittsburgh is batting .280, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .287 average away from home. The Pirates hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .361 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.94 hits per game. Andrew McCutchen comes into this game hitting .248 and his on-base percentage is at .352. He has 31 hits this season along with 22 runs scored and 13 runs batted in. He's struck out 33 times and has walked 18 times. Starling Marte is hitting .341 and he has an on-base percentage of .388. He has totaled 44 hits so far while scoring 19 runs and he's driven in 14. He has walked 4 times and has struck out 30 times. The Pirates have 318 hits, including 66 doubles and 30 home runs. They've stolen 20 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 10 times. Pittsburgh has walked 131 times this season and they've struck out 251 times as a unit. They've left 270 men on base and have a team OPS of .790. They score 4.94 runs per contest and have scored a total of 158 runs so far this year.

Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 12-9 home record and a 14-19 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.45, Tim Adleman has a 1-0 record and a 1.09 WHIP. He has 10 strikeouts over the 11 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 7 hits. He has allowed 5.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.25. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 6.43 and they have given up 127 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 101 times and walking 64 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.16 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.26 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.21. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 295 base knocks and 168 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 59 home runs this year and they give up 1.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 142 hitters and struck out 234. They give up a walk 4.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.51 while their FIP as a staff is 5.74.

As a team, they are batting .237, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .238 average at home. The Reds hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .292 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 7.64 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .234 and he has an OBP of .360. He has 26 hits this year along with 14 runs scored and 20 RBI. He's struck out 34 times and has walked on 20 occasions. Zack Cozart is hitting .340 and he has an OBP of .343. He has collected 33 hits so far while he's scored 19 runs and drove in 12. He has earned a walk 2 times and has punched out 13 times. The Reds as a unit have 252 base hits, including 59 doubles and 36 homers. They have 23 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 11 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 78 times this year and they have struck out 258 times. They've had 169 men left on base and have an OPS of .697. They score 4.09 runs per game and have totaled 135 runs so far this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 21-11-0 against the over/under so far this season

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 16-16-0 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 19-12-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 15-18-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Pittsburgh Pirates

04/14/16 P Cory Luebke Hamstring 15-day DL (4/14)
03/31/16 C Elias Diaz Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)

Cincinnati Reds

05/09/16 P Jon Moscot Shoulder 15-day DL (5/3)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1)
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 60-day DL (3/31)
04/03/16 P John Lamb Back 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds

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