Tuesday, May 10, 2016

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Juan Nicasio vs. Alfredo Simon

The Pittsburgh Pirates visit Great American Ball Park on Tuesday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Juan Nicasio for the Pirates and Alfredo Simon for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Pittsburgh at -120 and Cincinnati at +110. The over/under was set at 9. The Pirates have a 21-10-0 over/under record and a 16-15-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Reds are 14-18-0 against the run line and have a 19-11-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 44% of the time.

The Pirates head into this matchup with a 17-14 record, including 10-7 on the road. Starting pitcher Juan Nicasio has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.34. He has 32 strikeouts over his 31.1 innings pitched and he has given up 27 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.13. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.38 and they have given up 107 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the bullpen while being struck out 96 times and walking 56 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 8.82 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.96 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.25. The Pirates pitchers have collectively given up 278 base hits and 134 earned runs. They have allowed 37 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 135 batters and struck out 251. They walk 4.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.55.

As a team, Pittsburgh is batting .284, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .293 average away from home. The Pirates hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .364 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.1 hits per game. Andrew McCutchen comes into this game hitting .238 and his on-base percentage is at .340. He has 29 hits this season along with 21 runs scored and 13 runs batted in. He's struck out 33 times and has walked 17 times. Starling Marte is hitting .336 and he has an on-base percentage of .385. He has totaled 42 hits so far while scoring 19 runs and he's driven in 14. He has walked 4 times and has struck out 29 times. The Pirates have 313 hits, including 65 doubles and 30 home runs. They've stolen 19 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 10 times. Pittsburgh has walked 127 times this season and they've struck out 246 times as a unit. They've left 263 men on base and have a team OPS of .799. They score 5.03 runs per contest and have scored a total of 156 runs so far this year.

Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 11-9 home record and a 13-19 overall mark. With an earned run average of 9.86, Alfredo Simon has a 1-3 record and a 2.19 WHIP. He has 21 strikeouts over the 21 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 35 hits. He has allowed 15 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.93. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 6.59 and they have given up 126 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .273 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 100 times and walking 63 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.29 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.33 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.32. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 290 base knocks and 166 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 59 home runs this year and they give up 1.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 138 hitters and struck out 229. They give up a walk 4.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.52 while their FIP as a staff is 5.83.

As a team, they are batting .235, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .235 average at home. The Reds hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .290 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 7.59 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .229 and he has an OBP of .348. He has 25 hits this year along with 13 runs scored and 19 RBI. He's struck out 34 times and has walked on 19 occasions. Jay Bruce is hitting .234 and he has an OBP of .284. He has collected 25 hits so far while he's scored 14 runs and drove in 21. He has earned a walk 6 times and has punched out 31 times. The Reds as a unit have 243 base hits, including 59 doubles and 33 homers. They have 23 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 10 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 76 times this year and they have struck out 254 times. They've had 164 men left on base and have an OPS of .689. They score 4.12 runs per game and have totaled 132 runs so far this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 21-10-0 against the over/under so far this season

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 16-15-0 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 19-11-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 14-18-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Pittsburgh Pirates

04/14/16 P Cory Luebke Hamstring 15-day DL (4/14)
03/31/16 C Elias Diaz Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)

Cincinnati Reds

05/09/16 P Jon Moscot Shoulder 15-day DL (5/3)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1)
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 60-day DL (3/31)
04/03/16 P John Lamb Back 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds

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