Friday, April 22, 2016

Miller Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Aaron Nola vs. Zach Davies

The Philadelphia Phillies visit Miller Park on Friday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Aaron Nola for the Phillies and Zach Davies for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at +113 and Milwaukee at -123. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Phillies have a 8-8-0 over/under record and a 7-9-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Brewers are 8-7-0 against the run line and have a 10-5-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.

The Phillies head into this matchup with a 7-9 record, including 2-4 on the road. Starting pitcher Aaron Nola has a 0-2 record with an earned run average of 5.68 and a WHIP of 1.05. He has 23 strikeouts over his 19 innings pitched and he has given up 17 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.14. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.33 and they have given up 52 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the bullpen while being struck out 55 times and walking 23 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.3 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.14. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 129 base hits and 66 earned runs. They have allowed 23 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 45 batters and struck out 164. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 3.86.

As a team, Philadelphia is batting .214, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .230 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .347 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .271 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 6.88 hits per game. Ryan Howard comes into this game hitting .188 and his on-base percentage is at .268. He has 9 hits this season along with 5 runs scored and 8 runs batted in. He's struck out 16 times and has walked 6 times. Maikel Franco is hitting .241 and he has an on-base percentage of .290. He has totaled 14 hits so far while scoring 3 runs and he's driven in 5. He has walked 3 times and has struck out 15 times. The Phillies have 110 hits, including 23 doubles and 13 home runs. They've stolen 6 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 5 times. Philadelphia has walked 39 times this season and they've struck out 141 times as a unit. They've left 93 men on base and have a team OPS of .618. They score 2.62 runs per contest and have scored a total of 42 runs so far this year.

Milwaukee comes into this matchup with a 4-3 home record and a 7-8 overall mark. With an earned run average of 19.29, Zach Davies has a 0-1 record and a 4.71 WHIP. He has 0 strikeouts over the 2.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 8 hits. He has allowed 30.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.9. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.82 and they have given up 61 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .289 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 39 times and walking 26 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 10.69 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.54 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.34. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 152 base knocks and 76 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 25 home runs this year and they give up 1.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 57 hitters and struck out 93. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 6.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.63 while their FIP as a staff is 5.51.

As a team, they are batting .231, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .260 average at home. The Brewers hold a .379 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 7.2 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup batting .340 and he has an OBP of .421. He has 17 hits this year along with 9 runs scored and 11 RBI. He's struck out 9 times and has walked on 7 occasions. Domingo Santana is hitting .259 and he has an OBP of .365. He has collected 14 hits so far while he's scored 7 runs and drove in 8. He has earned a walk 9 times and has punched out 14 times. The Brewers as a unit have 108 base hits, including 24 doubles and 15 homers. They have 5 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 4 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 64 times this year and they have struck out 138 times. They've had 96 men left on base and have an OPS of .702. They score 3.93 runs per game and have totaled 59 runs so far this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 8-8-0 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 7-9-0 against the run line so far this season

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 10-5-0 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 8-7-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Philadelphia Phillies

04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
04/04/16 P Michael Mariot Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Mario Hollands Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Cody Asche Ribs 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)

Milwaukee Brewers

04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 15-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Will Smith Knee 15-day DL (3/25)

Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers

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