Sunday, July 31, 2016
Turner Field
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Jerad Eickhoff vs. Casey Kelly
The Philadelphia Phillies head to Turner Field on Sunday to take on the Atlanta Braves. The probable pitchers are Jerad Eickhoff for the Phillies and Casey Kelly for the Braves. The Phillies have a 49-54-2 over/under mark and a 52-53-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Braves are 47-56-0 against the run line and have a 45-51-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 46% of the time.
The Phillies head into this game with a 47-58 record, and they are 24-30 on the road. Starting pitcher Jerad Eickhoff has a 6-12 record with an ERA of 3.83 and a WHIP of 1.24. He has 111 strikeouts during his 127 innings pitched and he has given up 127 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.82. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.44 and they have allowed 330 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the pen while they've been struck out 321 times and walked 126 times this year. As a unit, Philadelphia has given up 9.06 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.41 hitters per nine. They are 18th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.32. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 933 base hits and 445 earned runs. They have allowed 125 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 284 batters and struck out 866. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.03.
As a team, Philadelphia is hitting .240, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .259 average on the road. The Phillies have a .384 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .294 which is good for 30th in the league. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.96 hits per contest. Maikel Franco comes into this game hitting .256 and his on-base percentage is at .311. He has 94 hits this season along with 39 runs scored and 58 runs batted in. He's struck out 72 times and has walked 28 times. Odubel Herrera is hitting .286 and he has an on-base percentage of .366. He has totaled 112 hits so far while scoring 57 runs and he's driven in 36. He has walked 48 times and has struck out 82 times. The Phillies have 835 hits, including 149 doubles and 101 home runs. They've stolen 52 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 30 times. Philadelphia has walked 249 times this season and they've struck out 837 times as a unit. They've left 650 men on base and have a team OPS of .678. They score 3.52 runs per contest and have scored a total of 370 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this game with a 15-37 home mark and a 36-67 overall record. With an ERA of 5.82, Casey Kelly has a 0-3 record and a 1.71 WHIP. He has 7 strikeouts over the 21.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 30 hits. He has allowed 12.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.34. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.10 and they have given up 339 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 349 times and walking 166 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.75 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.65 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 904 base knocks and 454 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 116 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 352 hitters and struck out 791. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.32.
As a team, they are batting .241, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .243 average at home. The Braves hold a .354 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.21 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup batting .282 and he has an OBP of .367. He has 109 hits this year along with 52 runs scored and 42 RBI. He's struck out 115 times and has walked on 46 occasions. Nick Markakis is hitting .265 and he has an OBP of .345. He has collected 102 hits so far while he's scored 39 runs and drove in 51. He has earned a walk 48 times and has punched out 65 times. The Braves as a unit have 846 base hits, including 173 doubles and 64 homers. They have 52 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 23 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 296 times this year and they have struck out 790 times. They've had 735 men left on base and have an OPS of .659. They score 3.43 runs per game and have totaled 353 runs so far this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 49-54-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 52-53-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 45-51-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 47-56-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Philadelphia Phillies
07/28/16 RF Peter Bourjos Shoulder 15-day DL (7/27)
07/26/16 2B Andres Blanco Finger 15-day DL (7/25)
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
Atlanta Braves
07/16/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Oblique 15-day DL (7/15)
07/12/16 C Tyler Flowers Hand 15-day DL (7/10)
06/28/16 P John Gant Oblique 15-day DL (6/27)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 15-day DL (6/20)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Braves
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's Free MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Expert MLB Picks