Tuesday, May 10, 2016

Turner Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Adam Morgan vs. Matt Wisler

The Philadelphia Phillies visit Turner Field on Tuesday to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Adam Morgan for the Phillies and Matt Wisler for the Braves. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at +100 and Atlanta at -110. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Phillies have a 14-16-2 over/under record and a 18-14-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 56% of the time. The Braves are 12-18-0 against the run line and have a 16-10-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 40% of the time.

The Phillies head into this matchup with a 18-14 record, including 10-9 on the road. Starting pitcher Adam Morgan has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.56. He has 9 strikeouts over his 9 innings pitched and he has given up 11 hits so far this season. He has allowed 11 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.52. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.31 and they have given up 96 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen while being struck out 107 times and walking 42 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 7.99 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.44 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 3.95. The Phillies pitchers have collectively given up 253 base hits and 125 earned runs. They have allowed 41 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 90 batters and struck out 299. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.20 and their FIP as a unit is 3.83.

As a team, Philadelphia is batting .227, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .239 average away from home. The Phillies hold a .360 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .283 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.38 hits per game. Odubel Herrera comes into this game hitting .324 and his on-base percentage is at .445. He has 36 hits this season along with 20 runs scored and 11 runs batted in. He's struck out 23 times and has walked 25 times. Maikel Franco is hitting .239 and he has an on-base percentage of .286. He has totaled 28 hits so far while scoring 9 runs and he's driven in 17. He has walked 7 times and has struck out 24 times. The Phillies have 236 hits, including 47 doubles and 25 home runs. They've stolen 12 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 12 times. Philadelphia has walked 79 times this season and they've struck out 256 times as a unit. They've left 181 men on base and have a team OPS of .643. They score 3.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 104 runs so far this year.

Atlanta comes into this matchup with a 1-15 home record and a 7-23 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.24, Matt Wisler has a 1-2 record and a 0.90 WHIP. He has 23 strikeouts over the 33.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 21 hits. He has allowed 5.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.33. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.72 and they have given up 103 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 111 times and walking 60 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.77 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.03 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.72. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 262 base knocks and 141 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 35 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 121 hitters and struck out 240. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.44.

As a team, they are batting .226, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .235 average at home. The Braves hold a .288 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 7.6 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .294 and he has an OBP of .395. He has 32 hits this year along with 12 runs scored and 20 RBI. He's struck out 18 times and has walked on 17 occasions. Adonis Garcia is hitting .260 and he has an OBP of .319. He has collected 27 hits so far while he's scored 8 runs and drove in 8. He has earned a walk 7 times and has punched out 23 times. The Braves as a unit have 228 base hits, including 42 doubles and 7 homers. They have 14 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 8 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 89 times this year and they have struck out 250 times. They've had 212 men left on base and have an OPS of .582. They score 3 runs per game and have totaled 90 runs so far this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 14-16-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 18-14-0 against the run line so far this season

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 16-10-4 against the over/under so far this season

The Atlanta Braves are 12-18-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Philadelphia Phillies

05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
04/04/16 P Michael Mariot Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Mario Hollands Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Cody Asche Ribs 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)

Atlanta Braves

04/18/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (4/17)
04/13/16 2B Hector Olivera Legal problems out indefinitely
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Manuel Banuelos Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)

Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn