Tuesday, April 26, 2016

Globe Life Park

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Probable Pitchers: Luis Severino vs. A.J. Griffin

The New York Yankees visit Globe Life Park on Tuesday to play the Texas Rangers. The probable starters are Luis Severino for the Yankees and A.J. Griffin for the Rangers. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -110 and Texas at +100. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Yankees have a 7-8-2 over/under record and a 6-11-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 35% of the time. The Rangers are 10-9-0 against the run line and have a 10-9-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.

The Yankees head into this matchup with a 7-10 record, including 2-3 on the road. Starting pitcher Luis Severino has a 0-2 record with an earned run average of 4.86 and a WHIP of 1.56. He has 11 strikeouts over his 16.2 innings pitched and he has given up 25 hits so far this season. He has allowed 13.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.51. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.91 and they have given up 41 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .199 against the bullpen while being struck out 77 times and walking 15 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 9.18 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.07 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.32. The Yankees pitchers have collectively given up 155 base hits and 73 earned runs. They have allowed 21 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 38 batters and struck out 170. They walk 2.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 3.50.

As a team, New York is batting .238, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .210 average away from home. The Yankees hold a .373 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316 which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8 hits per game. Jacoby Ellsbury comes into this game hitting .258 and his on-base percentage is at .290. He has 17 hits this season along with 5 runs scored and 7 runs batted in. He's struck out 12 times and has walked 3 times. Mark Teixeira is hitting .220 and he has an on-base percentage of .361. He has totaled 13 hits so far while scoring 10 runs and he's driven in 8. He has walked 13 times and has struck out 15 times. The Yankees have 136 hits, including 19 doubles and 18 home runs. They've stolen 17 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 4 times. New York has walked 62 times this season and they've struck out 127 times as a unit. They've left 126 men on base and have a team OPS of .689. They score 3.88 runs per contest and have scored a total of 66 runs so far this year.

Texas comes into this matchup with a 6-3 home record and a 10-9 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.18, A.J. Griffin has a 2-0 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 12 strikeouts over the 17 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 13 hits. He has allowed 6.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.62. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.40 and they have given up 61 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .272 against the Rangers bullpen while being struck out 49 times and walking 21 times this season. As a team, Texas has allowed 8.38 hits per nine innings while striking out 7 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.03. The Rangers pitchers as a team have surrendered 158 base knocks and 76 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 30 home runs this year and they give up 1.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Texas as a staff has walked 71 hitters and struck out 132. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 5.27.

As a team, they are batting .252, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .266 average at home. The Rangers hold a .383 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.42 hits per contest. Adrian Beltre comes into this matchup batting .319 and he has an OBP of .367. He has 23 hits this year along with 8 runs scored and 12 RBI. He's struck out 6 times and has walked on 6 occasions. Elvis Andrus is hitting .333 and he has an OBP of .364. He has collected 20 hits so far while he's scored 7 runs and drove in 11. He has earned a walk 4 times and has punched out 8 times. The Rangers as a unit have 160 base hits, including 34 doubles and 15 homers. They have 11 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 6 times. Texas as a team has walked 53 times this year and they have struck out 151 times. They've had 120 men left on base and have an OPS of .697. They score 4.26 runs per game and have totaled 81 runs so far this season.

New York Yankees Betting Trends

The New York Yankees are 7-8-2 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Yankees are 6-11-0 against the run line so far this season

Texas Rangers Betting Trends

The Texas Rangers are 10-9-0 against the over/under so far this season

The Texas Rangers are 10-9-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

New York Yankees

04/13/16 P Aroldis Chapman Suspension 30-game suspension, eligible to return May 9 vs Kansas City Royals
04/03/16 RF Mason Williams Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 15-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25); out for season

Texas Rangers

04/24/16 P Cole Hamels Groin expected to miss next scheduled start Monday vs. NY Yankees
04/21/16 P Keone Kela Elbow 15-day DL (4/20)
04/11/16 C Robinson Chirinos Forearm 60-day DL (4/9)
04/10/16 RF Shin-Soo Choo Calf 15-day DL (4/9)
04/10/16 P Tanner Schepper Knee 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 RF Josh Hamilton Knee 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Luke Jackson Back 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 C Chris Gimenez Ankle 15-day DL (3/27)
04/03/16 P Yu Darvish Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)

Guy's Pick: Take the Rangers

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