Saturday, July 2, 2016

Petco Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Ivan Nova vs. Drew Pomeranz

The New York Yankees head to Petco Park on Saturday to take on the San Diego Padres. The probable pitchers are Ivan Nova for the Yankees and Drew Pomeranz for the Padres. The opening line for this game has New York at +118 and San Diego at -128. The over/under is 7.5. The Yankees have a 33-37-8 over/under mark and a 34-44-0 run line record, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Padres are 46-33-0 against the run line and have a 41-36-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 58% of the time.

The Yankees head into this game with a 39-39 record, and they are 16-21 on the road. Starting pitcher Ivan Nova has a 5-5 record with an ERA of 5.32 and a WHIP of 1.41. He has 48 strikeouts during his 69.1 innings pitched and he has given up 82 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 10.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.08. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.95 and they have allowed 195 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the pen while they've been struck out 291 times and walked 57 times this year. As a unit, New York has given up 8.85 base hits per nine innings while striking out 9.06 hitters per nine. They are 19th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.41. The Yankees pitchers have collectively given up 673 base hits and 335 earned runs. They have allowed 101 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 179 batters and struck out 689. They walk 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 4.00.

As a team, New York is hitting .248, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .244 average on the road. The Yankees have a .392 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .311 which is good for 21st in the league. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.27 hits per contest. Carlos Beltran comes into this game hitting .297 and his on-base percentage is at .338. He has 78 hits this season along with 42 runs scored and 53 runs batted in. He's struck out 54 times and has walked 16 times. Jacoby Ellsbury is hitting .271 and he has an on-base percentage of .342. He has totaled 69 hits so far while scoring 33 runs and he's driven in 24. He has walked 26 times and has struck out 37 times. The Yankees have 645 hits, including 107 doubles and 82 home runs. They've stolen 40 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 12 times. New York has walked 228 times this season and they've struck out 529 times as a unit. They've left 509 men on base and have a team OPS of .703. They score 4.13 runs per contest and have scored a total of 322 runs so far this year.

San Diego comes into this game with a 18-24 home mark and a 33-46 overall record. With an ERA of 2.76, Drew Pomeranz has a 7-7 record and a 1.13 WHIP. He has 102 strikeouts over the 88 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 60 hits. He has allowed 6.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.36. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.52 and they have given up 272 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 284 times and walking 124 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.96 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.39 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.62. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 706 base knocks and 364 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 88 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff has walked 305 hitters and struck out 661. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.32.

As a team, they are batting .242, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .240 average at home. The Padres hold a .390 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .301 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.24 hits per contest. Wil Myers comes into this matchup batting .284 and he has an OBP of .347. He has 85 hits this year along with 52 runs scored and 55 RBI. He's struck out 65 times and has walked on 31 occasions. Jon Jay is hitting .296 and he has an OBP of .345. He has collected 80 hits so far while he's scored 35 runs and drove in 23. He has earned a walk 16 times and has punched out 62 times. The Padres as a unit have 651 base hits, including 131 doubles and 84 homers. They have 60 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 21 times. San Diego as a team has walked 214 times this year and they have struck out 709 times. They've had 492 men left on base and have an OPS of .692. They score 4.29 runs per game and have totaled 339 runs so far this season.

New York Yankees Betting Trends

The New York Yankees are 33-37-8 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Yankees are 34-44-0 against the run line so far this season

San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The San Diego Padres are 41-36-2 against the over/under so far this season

The San Diego Padres are 46-33-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

New York Yankees

07/01/16 RF Carlos Beltran Hamstring is downgraded to doubtful Friday vs. San Diego Padres
06/10/16 1B Chris Parmelee Hamstring 15-day DL (6/10)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
04/03/16 RF Mason Williams Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season

San Diego Padres

06/28/16 CF Jon Jay Forearm 15-day DL (6/20)
06/28/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
06/12/16 P Andrew Cashner Neck 15-day DL (6/11), expected to be activated & start Sunday vs. New York Yankees
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 15-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)

Josh's Pick: Take the Padres

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Josh Schonwald