Monday, July 25, 2016

Minute Maid Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Michael Pineda vs. Dallas Keuchel

The New York Yankees visit Minute Maid Park on Monday to play the Houston Astros. The probable starters are Michael Pineda for the Yankees and Dallas Keuchel for the Astros. The opening line for this matchup has New York at +144 and Houston at -154. The over/under was set at 8. The Yankees have a 40-48-9 over/under record and a 46-51-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Astros are 43-54-0 against the run line and have a 42-49-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 44% of the time.

The Yankees head into this matchup with a 49-48 record, including 21-26 on the road. Starting pitcher Michael Pineda has a 4-9 record with an earned run average of 5.25 and a WHIP of 1.35. He has 127 strikeouts over his 106.1 innings pitched and he has given up 115 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.89. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.48 and they have given up 235 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the bullpen while being struck out 353 times and walking 83 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.63 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.92 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Yankees pitchers have collectively given up 820 base hits and 401 earned runs. They have allowed 123 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 238 batters and struck out 848. They walk 2.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.98.

As a team, New York is batting .249, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .252 average away from home. The Yankees hold a .393 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.36 hits per game. Jacoby Ellsbury comes into this game hitting .271 and his on-base percentage is at .335. He has 88 hits this season along with 39 runs scored and 31 runs batted in. He's struck out 45 times and has walked 30 times. Carlos Beltran is hitting .303 and he has an on-base percentage of .346. He has totaled 100 hits so far while scoring 46 runs and he's driven in 61. He has walked 22 times and has struck out 62 times. The Yankees have 811 hits, including 142 doubles and 100 home runs. They've stolen 47 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 14 times. New York has walked 281 times this season and they've struck out 665 times as a unit. They've left 651 men on base and have a team OPS of .703. They score 4.1 runs per contest and have scored a total of 398 runs so far this year.

Houston comes into this matchup with a 30-19 home record and a 53-44 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.70, Dallas Keuchel has a 6-9 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 110 strikeouts over the 126.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 132 hits. He has allowed 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.94. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.08 and they have given up 276 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Astros bullpen while being struck out 345 times and walking 77 times this season. As a team, Houston has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.43 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.77. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 864 base knocks and 369 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 96 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a staff has walked 275 hitters and struck out 828. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 3.69.

As a team, they are batting .245, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .238 average at home. The Astros hold a .418 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.38 hits per contest. Carlos Correa comes into this matchup batting .266 and he has an OBP of .363. He has 94 hits this year along with 50 runs scored and 63 RBI. He's struck out 91 times and has walked on 50 occasions. Jose Altuve is hitting .357 and he has an OBP of .426. He has collected 136 hits so far while he's scored 73 runs and drove in 54. He has earned a walk 44 times and has punched out 40 times. The Astros as a unit have 813 base hits, including 171 doubles and 121 homers. They have 75 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 28 times. Houston as a team has walked 363 times this year and they have struck out 889 times. They've had 672 men left on base and have an OPS of .742. They score 4.53 runs per game and have totaled 439 runs so far this season.

New York Yankees Betting Trends

The New York Yankees are 40-48-9 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Yankees are 46-51-0 against the run line so far this season

Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 42-49-6 against the over/under so far this season

The Houston Astros are 43-54-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

New York Yankees

06/10/16 1B Chris Parmelee Hamstring 15-day DL (6/10)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season

Houston Astros

07/23/16 C Jason Castro Hand "?" Sunday vs. Los Angeles Angels

Guy's Pick: Take the Yankees

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