Friday, April 8, 2016

Comerica Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Luis Severino vs. Jordan Zimmermann

The New York Yankees visit Comerica Park on Friday to play the Detroit Tigers. The probable starters are Luis Severino for the Yankees and Jordan Zimmermann for the Tigers. The opening line for this matchup has New York at +105 and Detroit at -115. The over/under was set at 8. The Yankees had a 77-82-4 over/under record last season and a 80-83-0 run line mark, meaning they covered 49% of the time. The Tigers were 76-85-0 against the run line and had a 85-68-8 over/under record. They covered the spread 47% of the time.

The Yankees head into this matchup coming off a 87 - 75 season, including 42-39 on the road. Starting pitcher Luis Severino had a 5 - 3 record with an earned run average of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.20. He had 56 strikeouts over his 62.1 innings pitched and he also gave up 53 hits over that time period. He allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.37. The bullpen had an earned run average of 3.70 and they gave up 461 base hits on the year. Teams hit .229 against the bullpen while being struck out 596 times and walking 226 times last season. As a team, New York allowed 8.73 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.46 batters per nine. They were 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.04. The Yankees pitchers collectively gave up 1,416 base hits and 652 earned runs last year. They allowed 182 home runs last season and they allowed 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff walked 474 batters and struck out 1,370. They walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit was 3.97.

As a team, New York batted .250, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .247 average away from home. The Yankees held a .419 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which was good for 10th in baseball. They ranked 13th in baseball with 8.59 hits per game. Alex Rodriguez hit .250 last season and his on-base percentage was at .356. He had 131 hits last season along with 83 runs scored and 86 runs batted in. He struck out 145 times and walked 84 times. Mark Teixeira hit .255 and he had an on-base percentage of .357 last year. He totaled 100 hits while scoring 57 runs and he drove in 79. He walked 59 times and struck out 85 times. The Yankees had 1,397 hits, including 272 doubles, 19 triples, and 212 home runs. They stole 63 bases while they were thrown out stealing 25 times. New York walked 554 times last season and they struck out 1,227 times as a unit. They left 1,151 men on base and had a team OPS of .744. They scored 4.72 runs per contest and scored a total of 764 runs last season.

Detroit comes into this matchup after having a 38-43 home record and a 74 - 87 overall mark last year. With an earned run average last season of 3.66, Jordan Zimmermann will come into this game after holding a 13 - 10 record and a 1.21 WHIP. He had 164 strikeouts over the 201.2 innings he pitched during which he gave up 204 hits. He allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 3.75. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.38 and they gave up 524 base hits last year. Teams hit .266 against the Tigers bullpen while being struck out 395 times and walking 202 times last season. As a team, Detroit allowed 9.27 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.84 batters per nine. They were 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.64. The Tigers pitchers as a team surrendered 1,491 base knocks and 746 earned runs last season. They gave up 193 home runs last year and they gave up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a staff walked 489 hitters and struck out 1,100. They gave up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they struck out 6.8 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.37 while their FIP as a staff was 4.46.

As a team, they hit .270, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .273 average at home. The Tigers held a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which was good for 2nd in baseball. They ranked 1st in baseball with 9.41 hits per contest. Miguel Cabrera batted .338 last season and he had an OBP of .440. He had 145 hits last year along with 64 runs scored and 76 RBI. He struck out 82 times and walked on 77 occasions. Justin Upton hit .251 and he had an OBP of .336. He collected 136 hits last year while he scored 85 runs and drove in 81. He earned a walk 68 times and punched out 159 times. The Tigers as a unit had 1,515 base hits last year, including 289 doubles, 49 triples, and 151 homers. They had 83 stolen bases while they were thrown out 51 times. Detroit as a team walked 455 times last year and they struck out 1,259 times. They had 1,111 men left on base and had an OPS of .748. They scored 4.28 runs per game and totaled 689 runs last season.

New York Yankees Betting Trends

The New York Yankees were 77-82-4 against the over/under last season

The New York Yankees were 80-83-0 against the run line last season

Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers were 85-68-8 against the over/under last season

The Detroit Tigers were 76-85-0 against the run line last season

Injuries to Watch

New York Yankees

04/03/16 RF Mason Williams Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25); out for season
03/19/14 P Aroldis Chapman Suspension 30-game suspension, eligible to return May 9

Detroit Tigers

04/04/16 P Alex Wilson Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list
04/04/16 P Blaine Hardy Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/04/16 CF Cameron Maybin Wrist Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/04/16 P Daniel Norris Back Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)

Guy's Pick: Take the Yankees

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