Friday, April 29, 2016

Fenway Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Masahiro Tanaka vs. Henry Owens

The New York Yankees visit Fenway Park on Friday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Masahiro Tanaka for the Yankees and Henry Owens for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -115 and Boston at +105. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Yankees have a 8-10-2 over/under record and a 8-12-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 40% of the time. The Red Sox are 12-9-0 against the run line and have a 12-9-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 57% of the time.

The Yankees head into this matchup with a 8-12 record, including 3-5 on the road. Starting pitcher Masahiro Tanaka has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 2.92 and a WHIP of 0.97. He has 23 strikeouts over his 24.2 innings pitched and he has given up 18 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.15. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.20 and they have given up 48 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .202 against the bullpen while being struck out 81 times and walking 15 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.95 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.46 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.42. The Yankees pitchers have collectively given up 176 base hits and 87 earned runs. They have allowed 24 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 45 batters and struck out 186. They walk 2.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 3.67.

As a team, New York is batting .237, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .218 average away from home. The Yankees hold a .369 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 7.95 hits per game. Jacoby Ellsbury comes into this game hitting .241 and his on-base percentage is at .268. He has 19 hits this season along with 6 runs scored and 8 runs batted in. He's struck out 14 times and has walked 3 times. Mark Teixeira is hitting .243 and he has an on-base percentage of .369. He has totaled 17 hits so far while scoring 11 runs and he's driven in 10. He has walked 14 times and has struck out 17 times. The Yankees have 159 hits, including 21 doubles and 21 home runs. They've stolen 17 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 4 times. New York has walked 67 times this season and they've struck out 146 times as a unit. They've left 143 men on base and have a team OPS of .678. They score 3.6 runs per contest and have scored a total of 72 runs so far this year.

Boston comes into this matchup with a 5-6 home record and a 12-9 overall mark. With an earned run average of 8.10, Henry Owens has a 0-0 record and a 2.70 WHIP. He has 4 strikeouts over the 3.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 5 hits. He has allowed 13.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 8.21. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.96 and they have given up 63 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 87 times and walking 35 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.19 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.42 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.41. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 173 base knocks and 93 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 23 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 82 hitters and struck out 220. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 3.90.

As a team, they are batting .278, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .264 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.81 hits per contest. David Ortiz comes into this matchup batting .313 and he has an OBP of .418. He has 21 hits this year along with 10 runs scored and 16 RBI. He's struck out 12 times and has walked on 12 occasions. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .333 and he has an OBP of .381. He has collected 30 hits so far while he's scored 17 runs and drove in 12. He has earned a walk 7 times and has punched out 16 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 206 base hits, including 59 doubles and 17 homers. They have 20 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 2 times. Boston as a team has walked 70 times this year and they have struck out 167 times. They've had 148 men left on base and have an OPS of .787. They score 5.29 runs per game and have totaled 111 runs so far this season.

New York Yankees Betting Trends

The New York Yankees are 8-10-2 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Yankees are 8-12-0 against the run line so far this season

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 12-9-0 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 12-9-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

New York Yankees

04/26/16 CF Aaron Hicks Shoulder out indefinitely
04/13/16 P Aroldis Chapman Suspension 30-game suspension, eligible to return May 9 vs Kansas City Royals
04/03/16 RF Mason Williams Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 15-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25); out for season

Boston Red Sox

04/19/16 P Joe Kelly Shoulder 15-day DL (4/19)
04/13/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Eduardo Rodrigue Knee 15-day DL (4/2)

Josh's Pick: Take the Yankees

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