Sunday, July 17, 2016

Citizens Bank Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jacob deGrom vs. Zach Eflin

The New York Mets visit Citizens Bank Park on Sunday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Jacob deGrom for the Mets and Zach Eflin for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -155 and Philadelphia at +145. The over/under was set at 8. The Mets have a 39-48-2 over/under record and a 37-52-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 42% of the time. The Phillies are 45-46-0 against the run line and have a 44-45-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.

The Mets head into this matchup with a 48-41 record, including 22-21 on the road. Starting pitcher Jacob deGrom has a 5-4 record with an earned run average of 2.61 and a WHIP of 1.11. He has 91 strikeouts over his 93 innings pitched and he has given up 81 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.25. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.20 and they have given up 229 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the bullpen while being struck out 288 times and walking 101 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.52 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.61 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.37. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 749 base hits and 295 earned runs. They have allowed 80 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 227 batters and struck out 758. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 3.50.

As a team, New York is batting .238, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .243 average away from home. The Mets hold a .415 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.89 hits per game. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this game hitting .267 and his on-base percentage is at .324. He has 86 hits this season along with 38 runs scored and 29 runs batted in. He's struck out 67 times and has walked 21 times. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .302 and he has an on-base percentage of .372. He has totaled 87 hits so far while scoring 47 runs and he's driven in 52. He has walked 31 times and has struck out 77 times. The Mets have 702 hits, including 134 doubles and 124 home runs. They've stolen 19 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. New York has walked 285 times this season and they've struck out 764 times as a unit. They've left 609 men on base and have a team OPS of .725. They score 3.82 runs per contest and have scored a total of 340 runs so far this year.

Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 21-24 home record and a 42-49 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.08, Zach Eflin has a 2-2 record and a 1.22 WHIP. He has 18 strikeouts over the 35.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 37 hits. He has allowed 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.51. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.37 and they have given up 288 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 287 times and walking 111 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.15 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.36. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 816 base knocks and 389 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 116 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 244 hitters and struck out 767. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.15.

As a team, they are batting .243, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .223 average at home. The Phillies hold a .392 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .295 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.04 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .290 and he has an OBP of .374. He has 97 hits this year along with 50 runs scored and 33 RBI. He's struck out 70 times and has walked on 44 occasions. Maikel Franco is hitting .266 and he has an OBP of .319. He has collected 85 hits so far while he's scored 37 runs and drove in 53. He has earned a walk 25 times and has punched out 63 times. The Phillies as a unit have 732 base hits, including 135 doubles and 89 homers. They have 39 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 28 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 211 times this year and they have struck out 713 times. They've had 546 men left on base and have an OPS of .687. They score 3.64 runs per game and have totaled 331 runs so far this season.

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 39-48-2 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 37-52-0 against the run line so far this season

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 44-45-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 45-46-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

New York Mets

07/15/16 P Noah Syndergaard Arm expected to start Tuesday vs. St. Louis Cardinals
07/15/16 CF Yoenis Cespedes Quad "?" Saturday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 15-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/22/16 P Jim Henderson Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Philadelphia Phillies

05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)

Guy's Pick: Take the Mets

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