Sunday, July 24, 2016

Marlins Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Steven Matz vs. Jose Urena

The New York Mets head to Marlins Park on Sunday to take on the Miami Marlins. The probable pitchers are Steven Matz for the Mets and Jose Urena for the Marlins. The opening line for this game has New York at -130 and Miami at +120. The over/under is 8.5. The Mets have a 39-53-3 over/under mark and a 40-55-0 run line record, meaning they cover 42% of the time. The Marlins are 49-47-0 against the run line and have a 49-45-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.

The Mets head into this game with a 51-44 record, and they are 25-24 on the road. Starting pitcher Steven Matz has a 7-6 record with an ERA of 3.56 and a WHIP of 1.26. He has 95 strikeouts during his 101 innings pitched and he has given up 103 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.47. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.12 and they have allowed 241 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the pen while they've been struck out 303 times and walked 105 times this year. As a unit, New York has given up 8.52 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.55 hitters per nine. They are 3rd in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.35. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 797 base hits and 312 earned runs. They have allowed 85 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 239 batters and struck out 801. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 3.47.

As a team, New York is hitting .238, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .242 average on the road. The Mets have a .413 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .309 which is good for 24th in the league. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.87 hits per contest. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this game hitting .297 and his on-base percentage is at .368. He has 89 hits this season along with 48 runs scored and 54 runs batted in. He's struck out 79 times and has walked 32 times. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .266 and he has an on-base percentage of .320. He has totaled 91 hits so far while scoring 39 runs and he's driven in 31. He has walked 21 times and has struck out 73 times. The Mets have 748 hits, including 143 doubles and 129 home runs. They've stolen 23 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 12 times. New York has walked 298 times this season and they've struck out 804 times as a unit. They've left 650 men on base and have a team OPS of .722. They score 3.76 runs per contest and have scored a total of 357 runs so far this year.

Miami comes into this game with a 24-20 home mark and a 52-44 overall record. With an ERA of 6.23, Jose Urena has a 1-1 record and a 1.58 WHIP. He has 17 strikeouts over the 26 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 30 hits. He has allowed 10.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.71. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.60 and they have given up 262 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 328 times and walking 137 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.28 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.68 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.97. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 787 base knocks and 377 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 96 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 333 hitters and struck out 825. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 3.98.

As a team, they are batting .271, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .254 average at home. The Marlins hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.44 hits per contest. Martin Prado comes into this matchup batting .316 and he has an OBP of .366. He has 113 hits this year along with 41 runs scored and 33 RBI. He's struck out 42 times and has walked on 28 occasions. Marcell Ozuna is hitting .300 and he has an OBP of .353. He has collected 105 hits so far while he's scored 55 runs and drove in 52. He has earned a walk 29 times and has punched out 80 times. The Marlins as a unit have 906 base hits, including 161 doubles and 82 homers. They have 32 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 12 times. Miami as a team has walked 271 times this year and they have struck out 741 times. They've had 724 men left on base and have an OPS of .737. They score 4.19 runs per game and have totaled 402 runs so far this season.

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 39-53-3 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 40-55-0 against the run line so far this season

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 49-45-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 49-47-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

New York Mets

07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 15-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/22/16 P Jim Henderson Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Miami Marlins

07/06/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 15-day DL (7/3)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins

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