Sunday, June 5, 2016

Marlins Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Matt Harvey vs. Jose Fernandez

The New York Mets head to Marlins Park on Sunday to take on the Miami Marlins. The probable pitchers are Matt Harvey for the Mets and Jose Fernandez for the Marlins. The opening line for this game has New York at +139 and Miami at -149. The over/under is 7. The Mets have a 26-26-1 over/under mark and a 22-31-0 run line record, meaning they cover 42% of the time. The Marlins are 27-28-0 against the run line and have a 28-26-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.

The Mets head into this game with a 30-23 record, and they are 15-11 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Harvey has a 4-7 record with an ERA of 5.37 and a WHIP of 1.54. He has 50 strikeouts during his 60.1 innings pitched and he has given up 75 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 11.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.13. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.06 and they have allowed 130 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .216 against the pen while they've been struck out 176 times and walked 55 times this year. As a unit, New York has given up 8.35 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 hitters per nine. They are 3rd in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.18. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 439 base hits and 167 earned runs. They have allowed 41 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 128 batters and struck out 468. They walk 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.20 and their FIP as a unit is 3.14.

As a team, New York is hitting .231, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .245 average on the road. The Mets have a .411 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .309 which is good for 22nd in the league. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.62 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this game hitting .275 and his on-base percentage is at .333. He has 53 hits this season along with 17 runs scored and 19 runs batted in. He's struck out 43 times and has walked 11 times. Neil Walker is hitting .284 and he has an on-base percentage of .348. He has totaled 52 hits so far while scoring 23 runs and he's driven in 25. He has walked 17 times and has struck out 46 times. The Mets have 404 hits, including 75 doubles and 76 home runs. They've stolen 11 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. New York has walked 178 times this season and they've struck out 484 times as a unit. They've left 361 men on base and have a team OPS of .720. They score 3.79 runs per contest and have scored a total of 201 runs so far this year.

Miami comes into this game with a 13-15 home mark and a 29-26 overall record. With an ERA of 2.53, Jose Fernandez has a 8-2 record and a 1.11 WHIP. He has 96 strikeouts over the 67.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 50 hits. He has allowed 6.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.25. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.93 and they have given up 168 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 181 times and walking 88 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.36 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.43 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 3.97. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 455 base knocks and 216 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 41 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 222 hitters and struck out 459. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 3.83.

As a team, they are batting .268, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .253 average at home. The Marlins hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.22 hits per contest. Marcell Ozuna comes into this matchup batting .327 and he has an OBP of .377. He has 66 hits this year along with 35 runs scored and 29 RBI. He's struck out 47 times and has walked on 17 occasions. Martin Prado is hitting .312 and he has an OBP of .350. He has collected 63 hits so far while he's scored 19 runs and drove in 15. He has earned a walk 12 times and has punched out 24 times. The Marlins as a unit have 507 base hits, including 96 doubles and 47 homers. They have 17 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Miami as a team has walked 157 times this year and they have struck out 422 times. They've had 418 men left on base and have an OPS of .733. They score 3.89 runs per game and have totaled 214 runs so far this season.

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 26-26-1 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 22-31-0 against the run line so far this season

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 28-26-1 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 27-28-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

New York Mets

06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 15-day DL (5/30)
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/26/16 C Travis d'Arnaud Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Miami Marlins

05/26/16 P Bryan Morris Back 15-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Tony Sink