Wednesday, September 7, 2016

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Noah Syndergaard vs. Anthony DeSclafani

The New York Mets visit Great American Ball Park on Wednesday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Noah Syndergaard for the Mets and Anthony DeSclafani for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -150 and Cincinnati at +140. The over/under was set at 8. The Mets have a 63-72-3 over/under record and a 64-74-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Reds are 72-64-0 against the run line and have a 73-53-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.

The Mets head into this matchup with a 72-66 record, including 34-33 on the road. Starting pitcher Noah Syndergaard has a 12-8 record with an earned run average of 2.56 and a WHIP of 1.11. He has 188 strikeouts over his 162 innings pitched and he has given up 145 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.32. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.65 and they have given up 378 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the bullpen while being struck out 453 times and walking 155 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.68 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.57 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.58. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 1,183 base hits and 487 earned runs. They have allowed 127 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 362 batters and struck out 1,169. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 3.55.

As a team, New York is batting .243, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .251 average away from home. The Mets hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.11 hits per game. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this game hitting .276 and his on-base percentage is at .326. He has 118 hits this season along with 51 runs scored and 48 runs batted in. He's struck out 92 times and has walked 26 times. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .294 and he has an on-base percentage of .365. He has totaled 114 hits so far while scoring 58 runs and he's driven in 68. He has walked 42 times and has struck out 94 times. The Mets have 1,119 hits, including 201 doubles and 185 home runs. They've stolen 32 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. New York has walked 420 times this season and they've struck out 1,121 times as a unit. They've left 932 men on base and have a team OPS of .724. They score 3.92 runs per contest and have scored a total of 541 runs so far this year.

Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 34-35 home record and a 57-79 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.93, Anthony DeSclafani has a 8-2 record and a 1.15 WHIP. He has 87 strikeouts over the 101.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 95 hits. He has allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.72. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.99 and they have given up 472 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 441 times and walking 246 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.09 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.72 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.92. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,225 base knocks and 663 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 221 home runs this year and they give up 1.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 526 hitters and struck out 1,041. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 5.26.

As a team, they are batting .251, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .257 average at home. The Reds hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.49 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .312 and he has an OBP of .435. He has 141 hits this year along with 85 runs scored and 79 RBI. He's struck out 110 times and has walked on 99 occasions. Zack Cozart is hitting .256 and he has an OBP of .310. He has collected 115 hits so far while he's scored 66 runs and drove in 48. He has earned a walk 35 times and has punched out 79 times. The Reds as a unit have 1,154 base hits, including 233 doubles and 143 homers. They have 120 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 41 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 394 times this year and they have struck out 1,099 times. They've had 837 men left on base and have an OPS of .720. They score 4.42 runs per game and have totaled 601 runs so far this season.

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 63-72-3 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 64-74-0 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 73-53-10 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 72-64-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

New York Mets

09/03/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
09/03/16 P Jacob deGrom Forearm expected to miss next scheduled start Tuesday vs Cincinnati Reds
08/31/16 2B Neil Walker Back out for season
08/27/16 RF Justin Ruggiano Shoulder 60-day DL (8/27)
08/23/16 P Steven Matz Shoulder 15-day DL (8/15)
08/23/16 P Jon Niese Knee 15-day DL (8/24)
07/31/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (7/29)
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 60-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 60-day DL (5/21)

Cincinnati Reds

09/06/16 CF Billy Hamilton Oblique is downgraded to expected to miss 5-7 days
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)

Josh's Pick: Take the Mets

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