Tuesday, September 6, 2016

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Rafael Montero vs. Brandon Finnegan

The New York Mets head to Great American Ball Park on Tuesday to take on the Cincinnati Reds. The probable pitchers are Rafael Montero for the Mets and Brandon Finnegan for the Reds. The opening line for this game has New York at -117 and Cincinnati at +107. The over/under is 9. The Mets have a 63-71-3 over/under mark and a 63-74-0 run line record, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Reds are 72-63-0 against the run line and have a 73-52-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.

The Mets head into this game with a 71-66 record, and they are 33-33 on the road. Starting pitcher Rafael Montero has a 0-0 record with an ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.91. He has 6 strikeouts during his 7.1 innings pitched and he has given up 7 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.38. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.67 and they have allowed 375 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the pen while they've been struck out 450 times and walked 155 times this year. As a unit, New York has given up 8.68 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.59 hitters per nine. They are 3rd in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.61. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 1,175 base hits and 487 earned runs. They have allowed 127 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 361 batters and struck out 1,164. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 3.56.

As a team, New York is hitting .242, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .250 average on the road. The Mets have a .413 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .311 which is good for 26th in the league. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.09 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this game hitting .274 and his on-base percentage is at .325. He has 117 hits this season along with 51 runs scored and 47 runs batted in. He's struck out 92 times and has walked 26 times. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .294 and he has an on-base percentage of .365. He has totaled 114 hits so far while scoring 58 runs and he's driven in 68. He has walked 42 times and has struck out 94 times. The Mets have 1,109 hits, including 200 doubles and 183 home runs. They've stolen 32 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. New York has walked 418 times this season and they've struck out 1,110 times as a unit. They've left 928 men on base and have a team OPS of .724. They score 3.91 runs per contest and have scored a total of 536 runs so far this year.

Cincinnati comes into this game with a 34-34 home mark and a 57-78 overall record. With an ERA of 4.19, Brandon Finnegan has a 8-10 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He has 127 strikeouts over the 154.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 132 hits. He has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.25. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.97 and they have given up 468 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 439 times and walking 245 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.08 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.92. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,215 base knocks and 658 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 219 home runs this year and they give up 1.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 524 hitters and struck out 1,030. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 5.26.

As a team, they are batting .251, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .257 average at home. The Reds hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.5 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .312 and he has an OBP of .435. He has 140 hits this year along with 85 runs scored and 79 RBI. He's struck out 110 times and has walked on 98 occasions. Zack Cozart is hitting .258 and he has an OBP of .313. He has collected 115 hits so far while he's scored 66 runs and drove in 48. He has earned a walk 35 times and has punched out 78 times. The Reds as a unit have 1,146 base hits, including 232 doubles and 143 homers. They have 120 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 41 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 393 times this year and they have struck out 1,094 times. They've had 830 men left on base and have an OPS of .720. They score 4.45 runs per game and have totaled 601 runs so far this season.

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 63-71-3 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 63-74-0 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 73-52-10 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 72-63-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

New York Mets

09/03/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
09/03/16 P Jacob deGrom Forearm expected to miss next scheduled start Tuesday vs Cincinnati Reds
08/31/16 2B Neil Walker Back out for season
08/27/16 RF Justin Ruggiano Shoulder 60-day DL (8/27)
08/23/16 P Steven Matz Shoulder 15-day DL (8/15)
08/23/16 P Jon Niese Knee 15-day DL (8/24)
07/31/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (7/29)
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 60-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 60-day DL (5/21)

Cincinnati Reds

09/05/16 CF Billy Hamilton Oblique expected to miss Monday vs. New York Mets
09/04/16 2B Brandon Phillips Foot "?" Monday vs. New York Mets
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds

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