Monday, September 5, 2016

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Bartolo Colon vs. Robert Stephenson

The New York Mets head to Great American Ball Park on Monday to take on the Cincinnati Reds. The probable pitchers are Bartolo Colon for the Mets and Robert Stephenson for the Reds. The opening line for this game has New York at -124 and Cincinnati at +114. The over/under is 9. The Mets have a 63-70-3 over/under mark and a 62-74-0 run line record, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Reds are 72-62-0 against the run line and have a 73-51-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.

The Mets head into this game with a 70-66 record, and they are 33-33 on the road. Starting pitcher Bartolo Colon has a 12-7 record with an ERA of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.24. He has 106 strikeouts during his 158.2 innings pitched and he has given up 169 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.94. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.69 and they have allowed 372 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the pen while they've been struck out 447 times and walked 155 times this year. As a unit, New York has given up 8.68 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 hitters per nine. They are 3rd in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.63. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 1,166 base hits and 486 earned runs. They have allowed 126 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 361 batters and struck out 1,157. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 3.56.

As a team, New York is hitting .242, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .250 average on the road. The Mets have a .412 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .311 which is good for 26th in the league. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.09 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this game hitting .274 and his on-base percentage is at .325. He has 116 hits this season along with 51 runs scored and 47 runs batted in. He's struck out 91 times and has walked 26 times. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .294 and he has an on-base percentage of .366. He has totaled 113 hits so far while scoring 57 runs and he's driven in 68. He has walked 42 times and has struck out 93 times. The Mets have 1,100 hits, including 199 doubles and 181 home runs. They've stolen 32 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. New York has walked 417 times this season and they've struck out 1,105 times as a unit. They've left 924 men on base and have a team OPS of .723. They score 3.9 runs per contest and have scored a total of 531 runs so far this year.

Cincinnati comes into this game with a 34-33 home mark and a 57-77 overall record. With an ERA of 3.00, Robert Stephenson has a 2-0 record and a 1.08 WHIP. He has 4 strikeouts over the 12 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 9 hits. He has allowed 6.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.9. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.01 and they have given up 467 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 433 times and walking 243 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.11 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.66 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.93. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,210 base knocks and 655 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 217 home runs this year and they give up 1.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 521 hitters and struck out 1,018. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 5.26.

As a team, they are batting .251, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .256 average at home. The Reds hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.48 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .310 and he has an OBP of .433. He has 138 hits this year along with 85 runs scored and 79 RBI. He's struck out 110 times and has walked on 97 occasions. Zack Cozart is hitting .261 and he has an OBP of .316. He has collected 115 hits so far while he's scored 66 runs and drove in 48. He has earned a walk 35 times and has punched out 77 times. The Reds as a unit have 1,135 base hits, including 231 doubles and 143 homers. They have 120 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 41 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 388 times this year and they have struck out 1,085 times. They've had 820 men left on base and have an OPS of .720. They score 4.47 runs per game and have totaled 599 runs so far this season.

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 63-70-3 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 62-74-0 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 73-51-10 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 72-62-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

New York Mets

09/03/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
09/03/16 P Jacob deGrom Forearm expected to miss next scheduled start Tuesday vs Cincinnati Reds
08/31/16 2B Neil Walker Back out for season
08/27/16 RF Justin Ruggiano Shoulder 60-day DL (8/27)
08/23/16 P Steven Matz Shoulder 15-day DL (8/15)
08/23/16 P Jon Niese Knee 15-day DL (8/24)
07/31/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (7/29)
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 60-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 60-day DL (5/21)

Cincinnati Reds

09/03/16 2B Brandon Phillips Foot "?" Sunday vs. St. Louis Cardinals
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)

Josh's Pick: Take the Reds

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Josh Schonwald