New Mexico State at Kentucky Free College Football Picks & Odds
by Tony Sink - 9/10/2016
Saturday, September 17, 2016
Commonwealth Stadium
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The New Mexico State Aggies take on the Kentucky Wildcats on Saturday, September 17, 2016 at Commonwealth Stadium. The opening line for this game has Kentucky as 19 point favorites. This season the Aggies are 1-1-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 2-0-0. The Wildcats have an over/under record of 2-0-0 and they are 0-2-0 against the spread.
Tyler Rogers finished with 205 yards through the air for New Mexico State last week. He completed 21 passes out of 35 attempts for a 60% completion percentage. The Aggies were led in rushing by Xavier Hall, who finished with 61 yards on 11 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 6 yards per carry. Royce Caldwell was the team leader in receiving with a total of 57 yards and 2 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 29 yards per reception. As a team in that game New Mexico State got a total of 22 first downs by way of 8 rushing, 10 passing, and 4 by penalty. They ran 70 total plays for 307 yards for the game. The Aggies ran for 102 yards on 35 attempts.
Stephen Johnson finished with 45 yards through the air for Kentucky last week. He completed 2 passes out of 4 attempts for a 50% completion percentage. The Wildcats were led in rushing by Stanley Boom Williams, who finished with 66 yards on 12 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 6 yards per carry. Jeff Badet was the team leader in receiving with a total of 45 yards and 2 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 23 yards per reception. Kentucky got a total of 9 first downs by way of 6 rushing, 1 passing, and 2 by penalty. They ran 48 total plays for 149 yards for the game. The Wildcats ran for 94 yards on 34 attempts.
New Mexico State scores 27 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 82nd in Division 1. In the passing department, they average 19 passes on 38 attempts for a 50 percent completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 205.5 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 84th in college football. The Aggies run for an average of 120.5 yards per game on 32.5 attempts for an average of 3.7 yards per carry. That ranks them 100th in the nation. They also run 70.5 plays per contest and average 4.6 yards per play for an average of 326 yards per game, ranking their offense 110th overall this season. The Aggies average 20.5 first downs per game which ranks them 77th in the country. They accumulate 57.5 penalty yards per game via 7 penalties, which ranks 58th in the nation.
New Mexico State allows 172 passing yards per game, ranking 35th in D-1, and they allow 34.5 points per contest on defense, which ranks 104th. They give up 13.5 completions on 25.5 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 52.9. The Aggies allow 255 rushing yards per game on 47 carries for an average of 5.4 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 119th in the country. New Mexico State allows 427 total yards per game including 5.9 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 97th in terms of yards per game. They force 1.5 turnovers per contest and get flagged for 6 penalties for 55.5 yards per game, ranking them 66th among D-1 teams.
Kentucky averages 21 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 106th in the country. In the passing department, they complete 9.5 passes per game on 19.5 attempts for a 48.7 percent completion percentage. They throw for 184 yards through the air per game, ranking them 96th in Division 1. The Wildcats run for an average of 112 yards per game on 29.5 attempts for an average of 3.8 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 105th on the ground. They also run 49 plays per game and average 6 yards per play for a total of 296 yards per game, ranking them 117th in the country on offense. The Wildcats get an average of 11.5 first downs per game, which ranks 126th in the nation. They average 50 penalty yards per game via 4 penalties, ranking them 79th in college football.
Kentucky allows an average of 289 passing yards yards per game, which ranks 107th in Division 1. Their defense overall allows 44.5 points per contest, which has them ranked 125th in the nation. They give up 18.5 completions on 30.5 attempts for a completion percentage of 60.7 per game. The Wildcats allow 270 rushing yards per contest on 58.5 carries for a 4.6 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 123rd in the country. Kentucky allows 559 total yards per game for an average of 6.3 yards per play, which ranks 123rd in D-1. They force 2 turnovers per contest and 6.5 penalties for 62.5 yards in each contest, ranking 82nd in the nation.
New Mexico State Betting Trends
New Mexico State is 2-0-0 against the over/under this season
New Mexico State has an ATS record of 1-1-0 this season
Kentucky Betting Trends
Kentucky is 2-0-0 against the over/under this season
Kentucky has an ATS record of 0-2-0 this season
Injuries to Watch
New Mexico State
09/11/16 LB Derek Ibekwe Hernia "?" Saturday vs. Kentucky
09/11/16 RB Larry Rose III Hernia "?" Saturday vs. Kentucky
08/30/16 TE Garron Nash Personal has left team
08/25/16 QB Tyler Matthews Personal has left team
Kentucky
09/11/16 WR Alexander Montgomery Knee "?" Saturday vs. New Mexico State
08/28/16 DL Regie Meant Personal has left team
08/19/16 DB Darius West Knee out for season
Tony's Pick: Take Kentucky
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