Thursday, April 21, 2016

Miller Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Ricky Nolasco vs. Taylor Jungmann

The Minnesota Twins visit Miller Park on Thursday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Ricky Nolasco for the Twins and Taylor Jungmann for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +111 and Milwaukee at -121. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Twins have a 4-10-0 over/under record and a 7-7-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Brewers are 7-7-0 against the run line and have a 9-5-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.

The Twins head into this matchup with a 4-10 record, including 0-6 on the road. Starting pitcher Ricky Nolasco has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 3.21 and a WHIP of 1.00. He has 8 strikeouts over his 14 innings pitched and he has given up 12 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.27. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.59 and they have given up 37 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen while being struck out 47 times and walking 21 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 8.61 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.38. The Twins pitchers have collectively given up 117 base hits and 46 earned runs. They have allowed 12 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 45 batters and struck out 106. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 3.73.

As a team, Minnesota is batting .240, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .223 average away from home. The Twins hold a .381 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8 hits per game. Joe Mauer comes into this game hitting .340 and his on-base percentage is at .452. He has 17 hits this season along with 5 runs scored and 4 runs batted in. He's struck out 4 times and has walked 10 times. Eduardo Escobar is hitting .289 and he has an on-base percentage of .333. He has totaled 13 hits so far while scoring 5 runs and he's driven in 2. He has walked 3 times and has struck out 14 times. The Twins have 112 hits, including 25 doubles and 11 home runs. They've stolen 9 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 4 times. Minnesota has walked 45 times this season and they've struck out 121 times as a unit. They've left 111 men on base and have a team OPS of .696. They score 2.86 runs per contest and have scored a total of 40 runs so far this year.

Milwaukee comes into this matchup with a 3-3 home record and a 6-8 overall mark. With an earned run average of 9.00, Taylor Jungmann has a 0-2 record and a 1.62 WHIP. He has 9 strikeouts over the 13 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 17 hits. He has allowed 11.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.83. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.86 and they have given up 59 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .292 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 36 times and walking 24 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 10.59 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.35 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.37. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 140 base knocks and 71 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 23 home runs this year and they give up 1.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 54 hitters and struck out 84. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 6.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.63 while their FIP as a staff is 5.57.

As a team, they are batting .219, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .238 average at home. The Brewers hold a .353 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 6.79 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup batting .319 and he has an OBP of .385. He has 15 hits this year along with 7 runs scored and 10 RBI. He's struck out 9 times and has walked on 5 occasions. Domingo Santana is hitting .240 and he has an OBP of .345. He has collected 12 hits so far while he's scored 5 runs and drove in 7. He has earned a walk 8 times and has punched out 13 times. The Brewers as a unit have 95 base hits, including 22 doubles and 12 homers. They have 4 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 3 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 58 times this year and they have struck out 128 times. They've had 89 men left on base and have an OPS of .664. They score 3.5 runs per game and have totaled 49 runs so far this season.

Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 4-10-0 against the over/under so far this season

The Minnesota Twins are 7-7-0 against the run line so far this season

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 9-5-0 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 7-7-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Minnesota Twins

04/18/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Side 15-day DL (4/18)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 15-day DL (4/11)
04/10/16 CF Danny Santana Hamstring 15-day DL (4/10)

Milwaukee Brewers

04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 15-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 15-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Will Smith Knee 15-day DL (3/25)

Tony's Pick: Take the Twins

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