Monday, September 12, 2016

Comerica Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Ervin Santana vs. Daniel Norris

The Minnesota Twins head to Comerica Park on Monday to take on the Detroit Tigers. The probable pitchers are Ervin Santana for the Twins and Daniel Norris for the Tigers. The Twins have a 89-46-7 over/under mark and a 73-69-0 run line record, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Tigers are 75-66-0 against the run line and have a 70-65-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.

The Twins head into this game with a 53-89 record, and they are 24-44 on the road. Starting pitcher Ervin Santana has a 7-10 record with an ERA of 3.58 and a WHIP of 1.24. He has 125 strikeouts during his 158.1 innings pitched and he has given up 152 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.83. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.67 and they have allowed 541 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .273 against the pen while they've been struck out 457 times and walked 172 times this year. As a unit, Minnesota has given up 10.29 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.33 hitters per nine. They are 29th in the Majors in team earned run average at 5.19. The Twins pitchers have collectively given up 1,446 base hits and 729 earned runs. They have allowed 200 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 412 batters and struck out 1,030. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 4.63.

As a team, Minnesota is hitting .257, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .255 average on the road. The Twins have a .430 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .321 which is good for 19th in the league. They rank 9th in baseball with 8.96 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this game hitting .269 and his on-base percentage is at .368. He has 129 hits this season along with 68 runs scored and 49 runs batted in. He's struck out 89 times and has walked 75 times. Brian Dozier is hitting .277 and he has an on-base percentage of .347. He has totaled 150 hits so far while scoring 95 runs and he's driven in 93. He has walked 54 times and has struck out 112 times. The Twins have 1,272 hits, including 265 doubles and 177 home runs. They've stolen 83 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 26 times. Minnesota has walked 445 times this season and they've struck out 1,218 times as a unit. They've left 994 men on base and have a team OPS of .751. They score 4.63 runs per contest and have scored a total of 657 runs so far this year.

Detroit comes into this game with a 40-29 home mark and a 76-65 overall record. With an ERA of 3.94, Daniel Norris has a 2-2 record and a 1.51 WHIP. He has 40 strikeouts over the 45.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 54 hits. He has allowed 10.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.09. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.26 and they have given up 443 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the Tigers bullpen while being struck out 380 times and walking 150 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.02 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.53 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,258 base knocks and 590 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 156 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a staff has walked 396 hitters and struck out 1,050. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.15.

As a team, they are batting .267, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .270 average at home. The Tigers hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.18 hits per contest. Ian Kinsler comes into this matchup batting .279 and he has an OBP of .339. He has 154 hits this year along with 102 runs scored and 72 RBI. He's struck out 104 times and has walked on 39 occasions. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .312 and he has an OBP of .387. He has collected 162 hits so far while he's scored 77 runs and drove in 87. He has earned a walk 64 times and has punched out 101 times. The Tigers as a unit have 1,294 base hits, including 215 doubles and 184 homers. They have 55 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 25 times. Detroit as a team has walked 422 times this year and they have struck out 1,134 times. They've had 964 men left on base and have an OPS of .764. They score 4.6 runs per game and have totaled 648 runs so far this season.

Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 89-46-7 against the over/under so far this season

The Minnesota Twins are 73-69-0 against the run line so far this season

Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers are 70-65-6 against the over/under so far this season

The Detroit Tigers are 75-66-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Minnesota Twins

09/10/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Oblique 15-day DL
08/29/16 CF Danny Santana Shoulder 60-day DL (8/29); out for season
08/24/16 DH Byung Ho Park Wrist out for season
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season

Detroit Tigers

08/07/16 3B Nick Castellanos Hand 15-day DL (8/7)
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23), out for season
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)

Tony's Pick: Take the Tigers

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