Tuesday, September 27, 2016

Globe Life Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jimmy Nelson vs. A.J. Griffin

The Milwaukee Brewers visit Globe Life Park on Tuesday to play the Texas Rangers. The probable starters are Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers and A.J. Griffin for the Rangers. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +176 and Texas at -186. The over/under was set at 10. The Brewers have a 71-76-9 over/under record and a 83-73-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Rangers are 80-76-0 against the run line and have a 76-71-9 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.

The Brewers head into this matchup with a 70-86 record, including 29-46 on the road. Starting pitcher Jimmy Nelson has a 8-15 record with an earned run average of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.52. He has 137 strikeouts over his 174 innings pitched and he has given up 182 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.06. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.65 and they have given up 503 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen while being struck out 468 times and walking 205 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.06 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.4 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.09. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 1,390 base hits and 628 earned runs. They have allowed 173 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 518 batters and struck out 1,135. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.39.

As a team, Milwaukee is batting .243, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .241 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.97 hits per game. Jonathan Villar comes into this game hitting .280 and his on-base percentage is at .365. He has 158 hits this season along with 86 runs scored and 56 runs batted in. He's struck out 169 times and has walked 76 times. Ryan Braun is hitting .308 and he has an on-base percentage of .369. He has totaled 152 hits so far while scoring 78 runs and he's driven in 90. He has walked 46 times and has struck out 95 times. The Brewers have 1,244 hits, including 236 doubles and 185 home runs. They've stolen 175 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 53 times. Milwaukee has walked 579 times this season and they've struck out 1,487 times as a unit. They've left 1,031 men on base and have a team OPS of .727. They score 4.12 runs per contest and have scored a total of 643 runs so far this year.

Texas comes into this matchup with a 50-25 home record and a 92-64 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.94, A.J. Griffin has a 7-4 record and a 1.33 WHIP. He has 103 strikeouts over the 114.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 109 hits. He has allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.62. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.54 and they have given up 508 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the Rangers bullpen while being struck out 408 times and walking 184 times this season. As a team, Texas has allowed 9.01 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.18 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.40. The Rangers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,389 base knocks and 679 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 195 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Texas as a staff has walked 520 hitters and struck out 1,107. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.60.

As a team, they are batting .263, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .283 average at home. The Rangers hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 8th in baseball with 8.96 hits per contest. Adrian Beltre comes into this matchup batting .300 and he has an OBP of .359. He has 170 hits this year along with 86 runs scored and 101 RBI. He's struck out 64 times and has walked on 47 occasions. Ian Desmond is hitting .285 and he has an OBP of .336. He has collected 173 hits so far while he's scored 105 runs and drove in 84. He has earned a walk 43 times and has punched out 156 times. The Rangers as a unit have 1,397 base hits, including 247 doubles and 208 homers. They have 92 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 34 times. Texas as a team has walked 418 times this year and they have struck out 1,168 times. They've had 996 men left on base and have an OPS of .757. They score 4.74 runs per game and have totaled 740 runs so far this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 71-76-9 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 83-73-0 against the run line so far this season

Texas Rangers Betting Trends

The Texas Rangers are 76-71-9 against the over/under so far this season

The Texas Rangers are 80-76-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

09/21/16 CF Kirk Nieuwenhuis Oblique out indefinitely
09/18/16 P Junior Guerra None out for season
09/16/16 CF Keon Broxton Wrist out for season
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Texas Rangers

08/24/16 P Shawn Tolleson Back 60-day DL (8/23)
08/18/16 P Lucas Harrell Groin 60-day DL (8/17)
08/15/16 RF Shin-Soo Choo Forearm 15-day DL (8/15)
07/20/16 DH Prince Fielder Neck 15-day DL (7/19), out for season

Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn