Monday, September 26, 2016

Globe Life Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Matt Garza vs. Martin Perez

The Milwaukee Brewers head to Globe Life Park on Monday to take on the Texas Rangers. The probable pitchers are Matt Garza for the Brewers and Martin Perez for the Rangers. The Brewers have a 71-75-9 over/under mark and a 83-72-0 run line record, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Rangers are 80-75-0 against the run line and have a 76-71-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.

The Brewers head into this game with a 70-85 record, and they are 29-46 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Garza has a 5-8 record with an ERA of 4.52 and a WHIP of 1.53. He has 67 strikeouts during his 95.2 innings pitched and he has given up 111 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 10.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.42. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.66 and they have allowed 500 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the pen while they've been struck out 466 times and walked 205 times this year. As a unit, Milwaukee has given up 9.06 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.4 hitters per nine. They are 13th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.10. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 1,382 base hits and 625 earned runs. They have allowed 173 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 515 batters and struck out 1,128. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.40.

As a team, Milwaukee is hitting .243, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .241 average on the road. The Brewers have a .405 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .323 which is good for 13th in the league. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.98 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this game hitting .280 and his on-base percentage is at .366. He has 157 hits this season along with 86 runs scored and 56 runs batted in. He's struck out 167 times and has walked 76 times. Ryan Braun is hitting .306 and he has an on-base percentage of .368. He has totaled 150 hits so far while scoring 78 runs and he's driven in 90. He has walked 46 times and has struck out 94 times. The Brewers have 1,237 hits, including 235 doubles and 185 home runs. They've stolen 173 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 53 times. Milwaukee has walked 579 times this season and they've struck out 1,474 times as a unit. They've left 1,027 men on base and have a team OPS of .728. They score 4.14 runs per contest and have scored a total of 641 runs so far this year.

Texas comes into this game with a 50-25 home mark and a 92-63 overall record. With an ERA of 4.14, Martin Perez has a 10-10 record and a 1.38 WHIP. He has 98 strikeouts over the 189 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 189 hits. He has allowed 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.4. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.60 and they have given up 502 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the Rangers bullpen while being struck out 404 times and walking 182 times this season. As a team, Texas has allowed 8.97 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.19 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Rangers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,376 base knocks and 672 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 194 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Texas as a staff has walked 517 hitters and struck out 1,103. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.60.

As a team, they are batting .263, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .283 average at home. The Rangers hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 8.98 hits per contest. Adrian Beltre comes into this matchup batting .298 and he has an OBP of .357. He has 168 hits this year along with 85 runs scored and 100 RBI. He's struck out 64 times and has walked on 47 occasions. Ian Desmond is hitting .287 and he has an OBP of .338. He has collected 173 hits so far while he's scored 105 runs and drove in 84. He has earned a walk 43 times and has punched out 154 times. The Rangers as a unit have 1,392 base hits, including 245 doubles and 207 homers. They have 92 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 34 times. Texas as a team has walked 418 times this year and they have struck out 1,159 times. They've had 993 men left on base and have an OPS of .759. They score 4.77 runs per game and have totaled 739 runs so far this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 71-75-9 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 83-72-0 against the run line so far this season

Texas Rangers Betting Trends

The Texas Rangers are 76-71-8 against the over/under so far this season

The Texas Rangers are 80-75-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

09/21/16 CF Kirk Nieuwenhuis Oblique out indefinitely
09/18/16 P Junior Guerra None out for season
09/16/16 CF Keon Broxton Wrist out for season
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Texas Rangers

08/24/16 P Shawn Tolleson Back 60-day DL (8/23)
08/18/16 P Lucas Harrell Groin 60-day DL (8/17)
08/15/16 RF Shin-Soo Choo Forearm 15-day DL (8/15)
07/20/16 DH Prince Fielder Neck 15-day DL (7/19), out for season

Josh's Pick: Take the Rangers

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