Tuesday, June 14, 2016

AT&T Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Matt Garza vs. Madison Bumgarner

The Milwaukee Brewers visit AT&T Park on Tuesday to play the San Francisco Giants. The probable starters are Matt Garza for the Brewers and Madison Bumgarner for the Giants. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +225 and San Francisco at -245. The over/under was set at 7. The Brewers have a 32-27-4 over/under record and a 30-33-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Giants are 31-33-0 against the run line and have a 31-32-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.

The Brewers head into this matchup with a 30-33 record, including 11-16 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Garza will be making his season debut for the Brewers. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.01 and they have given up 207 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen while being struck out 197 times and walking 89 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.04 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.41 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.41. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 566 base hits and 276 earned runs. They have allowed 85 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 216 batters and struck out 464. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.71.

As a team, Milwaukee is batting .244, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .231 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 7.98 hits per game. Ryan Braun comes into this game hitting .316 and his on-base percentage is at .378. He has 62 hits this season along with 26 runs scored and 36 runs batted in. He's struck out 32 times and has walked 20 times. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .303 and he has an on-base percentage of .362. He has totaled 64 hits so far while scoring 32 runs and he's driven in 29. He has walked 20 times and has struck out 43 times. The Brewers have 503 hits, including 98 doubles and 68 home runs. They've stolen 56 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 20 times. Milwaukee has walked 250 times this season and they've struck out 594 times as a unit. They've left 434 men on base and have a team OPS of .722. They score 4.11 runs per contest and have scored a total of 259 runs so far this year.

San Francisco comes into this matchup with a 19-13 home record and a 38-26 overall mark. With an earned run average of 1.88, Madison Bumgarner has a 7-2 record and a 1.07 WHIP. He has 99 strikeouts over the 86 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 67 hits. He has allowed 7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.85. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.97 and they have given up 171 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Giants bullpen while being struck out 149 times and walking 60 times this season. As a team, San Francisco has allowed 8.46 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.67 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.52. The Giants pitchers as a team have surrendered 545 base knocks and 226 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 54 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Francisco as a staff has walked 161 hitters and struck out 494. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 3.56.

As a team, they are batting .249, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .248 average at home. The Giants hold a .389 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.44 hits per contest. Brandon Belt comes into this matchup batting .297 and he has an OBP of .411. He has 62 hits this year along with 30 runs scored and 31 RBI. He's struck out 41 times and has walked on 41 occasions. Hunter Pence is hitting .298 and he has an OBP of .375. He has collected 54 hits so far while he's scored 27 runs and drove in 36. He has earned a walk 23 times and has punched out 39 times. The Giants as a unit have 540 base hits, including 99 doubles and 54 homers. They have 35 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 17 times. San Francisco as a team has walked 234 times this year and they have struck out 417 times. They've had 450 men left on base and have an OPS of .713. They score 4.28 runs per game and have totaled 274 runs so far this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 32-27-4 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 30-33-0 against the run line so far this season

San Francisco Giants Betting Trends

The San Francisco Giants are 31-32-1 against the over/under so far this season

The San Francisco Giants are 31-33-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

06/10/16 RF Domingo Santana Elbow 15-day DL (6/8)
06/01/16 P Michael Blazek Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 15-day DL (4/2)
04/28/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

San Francisco Giants

06/11/16 2B Kelby Tomlinson Thumb 15-day DL (6/9)
06/01/16 RF Hunter Pence Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2)
05/24/16 LF Angel Pagan Hamstring 15-day DL (5/24)
04/22/16 SS Ehire Adrianza Foot 60-day DL (4/15)
04/15/16 P Sergio Romo Elbow 60-day DL (4/11)

Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers

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