Wednesday, August 3, 2016

Petco Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Junior Guerra vs. Edwin Jackson

The Milwaukee Brewers head to Petco Park on Wednesday to take on the San Diego Padres. The probable pitchers are Junior Guerra for the Brewers and Edwin Jackson for the Padres. The opening line for this game has Milwaukee at -143 and San Diego at +133. The over/under is 8. The Brewers have a 48-49-7 over/under mark and a 56-48-0 run line record, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Padres are 64-42-0 against the run line and have a 54-50-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 60% of the time.

The Brewers head into this game with a 47-57 record, and they are 17-32 on the road. Starting pitcher Junior Guerra has a 7-2 record with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.05. He has 85 strikeouts during his 103.1 innings pitched and he has given up 74 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 6.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.67. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.76 and they have allowed 344 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the pen while they've been struck out 331 times and walked 145 times this year. As a unit, Milwaukee has given up 9.18 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.51 hitters per nine. They are 13th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.20. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 937 base hits and 429 earned runs. They have allowed 116 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 361 batters and struck out 767. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.42.

As a team, Milwaukee is hitting .247, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .241 average on the road. The Brewers have a .397 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .325 which is good for 12th in the league. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.06 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this game hitting .293 and his on-base percentage is at .376. He has 111 hits this season along with 54 runs scored and 38 runs batted in. He's struck out 115 times and has walked 51 times. Ryan Braun is hitting .321 and he has an on-base percentage of .383. He has totaled 104 hits so far while scoring 50 runs and he's driven in 46. He has walked 30 times and has struck out 59 times. The Brewers have 838 hits, including 154 doubles and 111 home runs. They've stolen 106 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 34 times. Milwaukee has walked 389 times this season and they've struck out 997 times as a unit. They've left 710 men on base and have a team OPS of .722. They score 4.04 runs per contest and have scored a total of 420 runs so far this year.

San Diego comes into this game with a 25-27 home mark and a 46-60 overall record. With an ERA of 5.46, Edwin Jackson has a 1-2 record and a 1.64 WHIP. He has 15 strikeouts over the 28 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 30 hits. He has allowed 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.17. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.35 and they have given up 351 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 360 times and walking 156 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.87 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.07 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.51. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 934 base knocks and 475 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 123 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff has walked 389 hitters and struck out 850. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 4.39.

As a team, they are batting .241, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .240 average at home. The Padres hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.17 hits per contest. Matt Kemp comes into this matchup batting .262 and he has an OBP of .285. He has 107 hits this year along with 54 runs scored and 69 RBI. He's struck out 100 times and has walked on 16 occasions. Wil Myers is hitting .273 and he has an OBP of .353. He has collected 108 hits so far while he's scored 68 runs and drove in 64. He has earned a walk 50 times and has punched out 96 times. The Padres as a unit have 866 base hits, including 179 doubles and 124 homers. They have 90 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 25 times. San Diego as a team has walked 297 times this year and they have struck out 981 times. They've had 652 men left on base and have an OPS of .705. They score 4.38 runs per game and have totaled 464 runs so far this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 48-49-7 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 56-48-0 against the run line so far this season

San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The San Diego Padres are 54-50-2 against the over/under so far this season

The San Diego Padres are 64-42-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

08/01/16 LF Ryan Braun Side "?" Tuesday vs. San Diego Padres
07/25/16 3B Will Middlebrooks Leg 15-day DL (7/25)
06/10/16 RF Domingo Santana Elbow 15-day DL (6/8)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

San Diego Padres

08/02/16 3B Alexi Amarista Hamstring is downgraded to doubtful Tuesday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
08/01/16 P Colin Rea Elbow 15-day DL (7/31)
06/28/16 CF Jon Jay Forearm 15-day DL (6/20)
06/28/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 60-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season

Josh's Pick: Take the Padres

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