Tuesday, July 19, 2016

PNC Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Junior Guerra vs. Jameson Taillon

The Milwaukee Brewers head to PNC Park on Tuesday to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates. The probable pitchers are Junior Guerra for the Brewers and Jameson Taillon for the Pirates. The opening line for this game has Milwaukee at +120 and Pittsburgh at -130. The over/under is 8. The Brewers have a 43-41-6 over/under mark and a 46-44-0 run line record, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Pirates are 46-46-0 against the run line and have a 54-37-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.

The Brewers head into this game with a 39-51 record, and they are 16-29 on the road. Starting pitcher Junior Guerra has a 6-2 record with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.07. He has 72 strikeouts during his 82.1 innings pitched and he has given up 62 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 6.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.85. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.06 and they have allowed 303 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the pen while they've been struck out 282 times and walked 130 times this year. As a unit, Milwaukee has given up 9.28 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.44 hitters per nine. They are 22nd in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.42. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 821 base hits and 391 earned runs. They have allowed 110 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 316 batters and struck out 658. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.65.

As a team, Milwaukee is hitting .245, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .243 average on the road. The Brewers have a .391 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .322 which is good for 17th in the league. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.06 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this game hitting .313 and his on-base percentage is at .368. He has 92 hits this season along with 37 runs scored and 44 runs batted in. He's struck out 53 times and has walked 23 times. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .303 and he has an on-base percentage of .360. He has totaled 92 hits so far while scoring 43 runs and he's driven in 45. He has walked 28 times and has struck out 62 times. The Brewers have 725 hits, including 137 doubles and 92 home runs. They've stolen 79 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 30 times. Milwaukee has walked 329 times this season and they've struck out 859 times as a unit. They've left 616 men on base and have a team OPS of .713. They score 3.94 runs per contest and have scored a total of 355 runs so far this year.

Pittsburgh comes into this game with a 24-20 home mark and a 47-45 overall record. With an ERA of 3.86, Jameson Taillon has a 2-1 record and a 1.25 WHIP. He has 21 strikeouts over the 28 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 30 hits. He has allowed 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.16. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.58 and they have given up 312 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Pirates bullpen while being struck out 272 times and walking 131 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 9.16 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.18 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.29. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 847 base knocks and 398 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 105 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 324 hitters and struck out 664. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.49.

As a team, they are batting .261, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .274 average at home. The Pirates hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 8th in baseball with 9.09 hits per contest. Starling Marte comes into this matchup batting .315 and he has an OBP of .364. He has 103 hits this year along with 50 runs scored and 34 RBI. He's struck out 74 times and has walked on 13 occasions. Gregory Polanco is hitting .287 and he has an OBP of .362. He has collected 86 hits so far while he's scored 50 runs and drove in 50. He has earned a walk 38 times and has punched out 71 times. The Pirates as a unit have 836 base hits, including 166 doubles and 89 homers. They have 71 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 24 times. Pittsburgh as a team has walked 300 times this year and they have struck out 780 times. They've had 677 men left on base and have an OPS of .741. They score 4.63 runs per game and have totaled 426 runs so far this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 43-41-6 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 46-44-0 against the run line so far this season

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 54-37-1 against the over/under so far this season

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 46-46-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

07/17/16 3B Hernan Perez Foot "?"
06/10/16 RF Domingo Santana Elbow 15-day DL (6/8)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Pittsburgh Pirates

07/16/16 RF Gregory Polanco Hamstring 15-day DL
07/04/16 C Chris Stewart Knee 15-day DL (7/2)
07/04/16 P Jameson Taillon Shoulder 15-day DL (6/30)
06/11/16 C Francisco Cervelli Hand 15-day DL (6/10)
05/24/16 P Ryan Vogelsong Eye 60-day DL (5/24)
03/31/16 C Elias Diaz Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Tony's Pick: Take the Pirates

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