Sunday, June 5, 2016

Citizens Bank Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Wily Peralta vs. Aaron Nola

The Milwaukee Brewers visit Citizens Bank Park on Sunday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Wily Peralta for the Brewers and Aaron Nola for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +136 and Philadelphia at -146. The over/under was set at 8. The Brewers have a 28-23-4 over/under record and a 26-29-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Phillies are 27-28-0 against the run line and have a 22-31-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.

The Brewers head into this matchup with a 25-30 record, including 10-15 on the road. Starting pitcher Wily Peralta has a 3-6 record with an earned run average of 6.51 and a WHIP of 1.92. He has 37 strikeouts over his 56.2 innings pitched and he has given up 85 hits so far this season. He has allowed 13.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.31. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.04 and they have given up 180 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the bullpen while being struck out 177 times and walking 84 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.58 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.57. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 501 base hits and 249 earned runs. They have allowed 75 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 197 batters and struck out 413. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.78.

As a team, Milwaukee is batting .242, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .225 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .395 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 7.95 hits per game. Ryan Braun comes into this game hitting .341 and his on-base percentage is at .412. He has 57 hits this season along with 23 runs scored and 33 runs batted in. He's struck out 24 times and has walked 20 times. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .304 and he has an on-base percentage of .364. He has totaled 56 hits so far while scoring 28 runs and he's driven in 28. He has walked 18 times and has struck out 39 times. The Brewers have 437 hits, including 91 doubles and 59 home runs. They've stolen 45 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 18 times. Milwaukee has walked 224 times this season and they've struck out 527 times as a unit. They've left 382 men on base and have a team OPS of .721. They score 4.15 runs per contest and have scored a total of 228 runs so far this year.

Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 14-13 home record and a 27-28 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.88, Aaron Nola has a 4-4 record and a 0.93 WHIP. He has 76 strikeouts over the 72 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 54 hits. He has allowed 6.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.86. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.80 and they have given up 147 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 171 times and walking 76 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 8.21 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.91 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.90. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 444 base knocks and 211 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 69 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 156 hitters and struck out 482. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 4.01.

As a team, they are batting .231, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .220 average at home. The Phillies hold a .359 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .287 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.47 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .311 and he has an OBP of .425. He has 60 hits this year along with 30 runs scored and 17 RBI. He's struck out 42 times and has walked on 38 occasions. Maikel Franco is hitting .253 and he has an OBP of .296. He has collected 50 hits so far while he's scored 16 runs and drove in 30. He has earned a walk 13 times and has punched out 37 times. The Phillies as a unit have 411 base hits, including 74 doubles and 43 homers. They have 21 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 19 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 133 times this year and they have struck out 441 times. They've had 325 men left on base and have an OPS of .646. They score 3.15 runs per game and have totaled 173 runs so far this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 28-23-4 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 26-29-0 against the run line so far this season

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 22-31-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 27-28-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

06/01/16 P Michael Blazek Elbow 15-day DL
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 15-day DL (4/2)
04/28/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Philadelphia Phillies

06/03/16 P Jerad Eickhoff Ankle injured last game, "?" for next scheduled start
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)

Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers

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