Saturday, June 4, 2016

Citizens Bank Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Junior Guerra vs. Jeremy Hellickson

The Milwaukee Brewers head to Citizens Bank Park on Saturday to take on the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable pitchers are Junior Guerra for the Brewers and Jeremy Hellickson for the Phillies. The opening line for this game has Milwaukee at +108 and Philadelphia at -118. The over/under is 8. The Brewers have a 27-23-4 over/under mark and a 26-28-0 run line record, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Phillies are 26-28-0 against the run line and have a 21-31-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.

The Brewers head into this game with a 25-29 record, and they are 10-14 on the road. Starting pitcher Junior Guerra has a 3-1 record with an ERA of 3.47 and a WHIP of 1.16. He has 36 strikeouts during his 36.1 innings pitched and he has given up 30 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.85. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.12 and they have allowed 180 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the pen while they've been struck out 172 times and walked 83 times this year. As a unit, Milwaukee has given up 9.22 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.59 hitters per nine. They are 23rd in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.53. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 494 base hits and 243 earned runs. They have allowed 73 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 193 batters and struck out 407. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.76.

As a team, Milwaukee is hitting .244, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .227 average on the road. The Brewers have a .397 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .327 which is good for 10th in the league. They rank 25th in baseball with 8 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this game hitting .348 and his on-base percentage is at .415. He has 57 hits this season along with 23 runs scored and 32 runs batted in. He's struck out 24 times and has walked 19 times. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .304 and he has an on-base percentage of .361. He has totaled 55 hits so far while scoring 28 runs and he's driven in 28. He has walked 17 times and has struck out 39 times. The Brewers have 432 hits, including 90 doubles and 58 home runs. They've stolen 45 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 18 times. Milwaukee has walked 219 times this season and they've struck out 518 times as a unit. They've left 376 men on base and have a team OPS of .723. They score 4.17 runs per contest and have scored a total of 225 runs so far this year.

Philadelphia comes into this game with a 13-13 home mark and a 26-28 overall record. With an ERA of 3.68, Jeremy Hellickson has a 4-3 record and a 1.15 WHIP. He has 65 strikeouts over the 63.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 59 hits. He has allowed 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.88. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.85 and they have given up 146 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 168 times and walking 74 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 8.27 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.91 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.92. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 439 base knocks and 208 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 68 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 151 hitters and struck out 473. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 4.01.

As a team, they are batting .230, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .220 average at home. The Phillies hold a .357 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .286 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.48 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .313 and he has an OBP of .419. He has 60 hits this year along with 28 runs scored and 17 RBI. He's struck out 42 times and has walked on 35 occasions. Maikel Franco is hitting .253 and he has an OBP of .297. He has collected 49 hits so far while he's scored 15 runs and drove in 29. He has earned a walk 13 times and has punched out 36 times. The Phillies as a unit have 404 base hits, including 73 doubles and 41 homers. They have 21 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 19 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 129 times this year and they have struck out 435 times. They've had 322 men left on base and have an OPS of .643. They score 3.09 runs per game and have totaled 167 runs so far this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 27-23-4 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 26-28-0 against the run line so far this season

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 21-31-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 26-28-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

06/01/16 P Michael Blazek Elbow 15-day DL
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 15-day DL (4/2)
05/20/16 RF Domingo Santana Shoulder 15-day DL (5/19)
04/28/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Philadelphia Phillies

06/03/16 P Jerad Eickhoff Ankle injured last game, "?" for next scheduled start
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)

Josh's Pick: Take the Phillies

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