Friday, June 3, 2016

Citizens Bank Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jimmy Nelson vs. Vincent Velasquez

The Milwaukee Brewers visit Citizens Bank Park on Friday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers and Vincent Velasquez for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +113 and Philadelphia at -123. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Brewers have a 27-22-4 over/under record and a 25-28-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Phillies are 26-27-0 against the run line and have a 21-30-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.

The Brewers head into this matchup with a 24-29 record, including 9-14 on the road. Starting pitcher Jimmy Nelson has a 5-3 record with an earned run average of 2.88 and a WHIP of 1.17. He has 59 strikeouts over his 72 innings pitched and he has given up 56 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.52. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.20 and they have given up 178 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the bullpen while being struck out 167 times and walking 83 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.53 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.60. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 489 base hits and 242 earned runs. They have allowed 72 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 193 batters and struck out 396. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 4.79.

As a team, Milwaukee is batting .242, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .223 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .393 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 7.92 hits per game. Ryan Braun comes into this game hitting .352 and his on-base percentage is at .421. He has 56 hits this season along with 23 runs scored and 32 runs batted in. He's struck out 24 times and has walked 19 times. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .299 and he has an on-base percentage of .355. He has totaled 53 hits so far while scoring 28 runs and he's driven in 28. He has walked 16 times and has struck out 38 times. The Brewers have 420 hits, including 87 doubles and 56 home runs. They've stolen 44 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 17 times. Milwaukee has walked 216 times this season and they've struck out 510 times as a unit. They've left 367 men on base and have a team OPS of .719. They score 4.17 runs per contest and have scored a total of 221 runs so far this year.

Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 13-12 home record and a 26-27 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.63, Vincent Velasquez has a 5-2 record and a 1.25 WHIP. He has 67 strikeouts over the 57 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 52 hits. He has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.65. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.79 and they have given up 142 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 164 times and walking 72 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 8.19 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.92 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.91. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 427 base knocks and 204 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 66 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 148 hitters and struck out 465. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 3.98.

As a team, they are batting .232, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .222 average at home. The Phillies hold a .359 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .288 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.53 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .319 and he has an OBP of .427. He has 60 hits this year along with 28 runs scored and 17 RBI. He's struck out 41 times and has walked on 35 occasions. Maikel Franco is hitting .247 and he has an OBP of .293. He has collected 47 hits so far while he's scored 14 runs and drove in 28. He has earned a walk 13 times and has punched out 35 times. The Phillies as a unit have 399 base hits, including 72 doubles and 40 homers. They have 21 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 18 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 129 times this year and they have struck out 424 times. They've had 317 men left on base and have an OPS of .646. They score 3.13 runs per game and have totaled 166 runs so far this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 27-22-4 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 25-28-0 against the run line so far this season

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 21-30-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 26-27-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

06/01/16 P Michael Blazek Elbow 15-day DL
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 15-day DL (4/2)
05/20/16 RF Domingo Santana Shoulder 15-day DL (5/19)
04/28/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Philadelphia Phillies

05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
04/03/16 P Mario Hollands Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Cody Asche Ribs 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)

Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers

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