Tuesday, April 19, 2016

Target Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Wily Peralta vs. Ervin Santana

The Milwaukee Brewers visit Target Field on Tuesday to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Wily Peralta for the Brewers and Ervin Santana for the Twins. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +129 and Minnesota at -139. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Brewers have a 7-5-0 over/under record and a 6-6-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Twins are 6-6-0 against the run line and have a 2-10-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.

The Brewers head into this matchup with a 5-7 record, including 2-4 on the road. Starting pitcher Wily Peralta has a 0-3 record with an earned run average of 10.13 and a WHIP of 2.10. He has 11 strikeouts over his 13.1 innings pitched and he has given up 20 hits so far this season. He has allowed 13.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 7.38. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.40 and they have given up 53 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .293 against the bullpen while being struck out 32 times and walking 21 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 10.21 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.4 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.19. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 118 base hits and 60 earned runs. They have allowed 19 home runs this season and they allow 1.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 47 batters and struck out 74. They walk 4.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 6.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.59 and their FIP as a unit is 5.47.

As a team, Milwaukee is batting .213, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .188 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .348 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 6.67 hits per game. Ryan Braun comes into this game hitting .268 and his on-base percentage is at .318. He has 11 hits this season along with 5 runs scored and 7 runs batted in. He's struck out 8 times and has walked 3 times. Domingo Santana is hitting .261 and he has an on-base percentage of .370. He has totaled 12 hits so far while scoring 5 runs and he's driven in 7. He has walked 8 times and has struck out 11 times. The Brewers have 80 hits, including 15 doubles and 12 home runs. They've stolen 4 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 3 times. Milwaukee has walked 52 times this season and they've struck out 114 times as a unit. They've left 79 men on base and have a team OPS of .658. They score 3.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 39 runs so far this year.

Minnesota comes into this matchup with a 3-3 home record and a 3-9 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.00, Ervin Santana has a 0-1 record and a 1.33 WHIP. He has 16 strikeouts over the 15 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 15 hits. He has allowed 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.84. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.87 and they have given up 33 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 41 times and walking 20 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 8.55 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.71 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.44. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 102 base knocks and 41 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 12 home runs this year and they give up 1 home run per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 39 hitters and struck out 92. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 3.96.

As a team, they are batting .224, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .225 average at home. The Twins hold a .343 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .301 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 7.5 hits per contest. Brian Dozier comes into this matchup batting .167 and he has an OBP of .271. He has 7 hits this year along with 2 runs scored and 2 RBI. He's struck out 10 times and has walked on 5 occasions. Joe Mauer is hitting .372 and he has an OBP of .472. He has collected 16 hits so far while he's scored 5 runs and drove in 3. He has earned a walk 8 times and has punched out 4 times. The Twins as a unit have 90 base hits, including 21 doubles and 7 homers. They have 8 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 4 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 38 times this year and they have struck out 111 times. They've had 96 men left on base and have an OPS of .644. They score 2.33 runs per game and have totaled 28 runs so far this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 7-5-0 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 6-6-0 against the run line so far this season

Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 2-10-0 against the over/under so far this season

The Minnesota Twins are 6-6-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 15-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 15-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Will Smith Knee 15-day DL (3/25)

Minnesota Twins

04/17/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Side expected to miss Monday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
04/16/16 P Fernando Abad Personal placed on bereavement list
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 15-day DL (4/11)
04/10/16 CF Danny Santana Hamstring 15-day DL (4/10)

Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers

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