Friday, May 6, 2016

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Wily Peralta vs. Tim Adleman

The Milwaukee Brewers visit Great American Ball Park on Friday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Wily Peralta for the Brewers and Tim Adleman for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +105 and Cincinnati at -115. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Brewers have a 18-7-2 over/under record and a 13-14-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Reds are 11-17-0 against the run line and have a 16-10-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 39% of the time.

The Brewers head into this matchup with a 11-16 record, including 3-7 on the road. Starting pitcher Wily Peralta has a 2-3 record with an earned run average of 7.50 and a WHIP of 1.93. He has 18 strikeouts over his 30 innings pitched and he has given up 45 hits so far this season. He has allowed 13.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.54. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.00 and they have given up 112 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .291 against the bullpen while being struck out 78 times and walking 53 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 10.88 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.73 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.58. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 283 base hits and 145 earned runs. They have allowed 41 home runs this season and they allow 1.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 117 batters and struck out 175. They walk 4.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 6.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.71 and their FIP as a unit is 5.45.

As a team, Milwaukee is batting .244, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .198 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 7.78 hits per game. Ryan Braun comes into this game hitting .374 and his on-base percentage is at .441. He has 34 hits this season along with 15 runs scored and 22 runs batted in. He's struck out 15 times and has walked 11 times. Domingo Santana is hitting .247 and he has an on-base percentage of .330. He has totaled 22 hits so far while scoring 11 runs and he's driven in 11. He has walked 11 times and has struck out 30 times. The Brewers have 210 hits, including 50 doubles and 28 home runs. They've stolen 17 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 6 times. Milwaukee has walked 106 times this season and they've struck out 245 times as a unit. They've left 171 men on base and have a team OPS of .727. They score 4.41 runs per contest and have scored a total of 119 runs so far this year.

Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 9-7 home record and a 11-17 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.00, Tim Adleman has a 0-0 record and a 0.83 WHIP. He has 6 strikeouts over the 6 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 3 hits. He has allowed 4.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.24. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 6.44 and they have given up 106 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .266 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 83 times and walking 56 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.22 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.34 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.35. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 250 base knocks and 145 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 48 home runs this year and they give up 1.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 126 hitters and struck out 199. They give up a walk 4.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.54 while their FIP as a staff is 5.73.

As a team, they are batting .234, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .233 average at home. The Reds hold a .384 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .289 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 7.54 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .227 and he has an OBP of .330. He has 22 hits this year along with 9 runs scored and 15 RBI. He's struck out 28 times and has walked on 14 occasions. Jay Bruce is hitting .244 and he has an OBP of .303. He has collected 22 hits so far while he's scored 11 runs and drove in 18. He has earned a walk 6 times and has punched out 23 times. The Reds as a unit have 211 base hits, including 51 doubles and 25 homers. They have 20 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 66 times this year and they have struck out 218 times. They've had 148 men left on base and have an OPS of .673. They score 3.82 runs per game and have totaled 107 runs so far this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 18-7-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 13-14-0 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 16-10-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 11-17-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

05/05/16 RF Domingo Santana Shoulder "?" Thursday vs. Cincinnati Reds
05/05/16 P Wily Peralta Personal expected to miss start Friday vs. Cincinnati Reds
04/28/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
04/28/16 2B Scooter Gennett Oblique 15-day DL (4/28)
04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Will Smith Knee 15-day DL (3/25)

Cincinnati Reds

05/05/16 CF Billy Hamilton Thumb is upgraded to expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
05/03/16 P Brandon Finnegan Hamstring "?" for next scheduled start
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 15-day DL (5/1)
05/02/16 P Jon Moscot Shoulder is upgraded to probable next start
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 60-day DL (3/31)
04/03/16 P John Lamb Back 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Guy's Pick: Take the Reds

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