Thursday, May 5, 2016

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Chase Anderson vs. Alfredo Simon

The Milwaukee Brewers visit Great American Ball Park on Thursday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Chase Anderson for the Brewers and Alfredo Simon for the Reds. The Brewers have a 17-7-2 over/under record and a 13-13-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Reds are 10-17-0 against the run line and have a 15-10-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 37% of the time.

The Brewers head into this matchup with a 11-15 record, including 3-7 on the road. Starting pitcher Chase Anderson has a 1-3 record with an earned run average of 5.55 and a WHIP of 1.89. He has 19 strikeouts over his 24.1 innings pitched and he has given up 36 hits so far this season. He has allowed 13.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.93. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.68 and they have given up 105 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .284 against the bullpen while being struck out 76 times and walking 51 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 10.84 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.8 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.52. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 271 base hits and 138 earned runs. They have allowed 40 home runs this season and they allow 1.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 112 batters and struck out 170. They walk 4.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 6.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.70 and their FIP as a unit is 5.46.

As a team, Milwaukee is batting .243, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .198 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 7.73 hits per game. Ryan Braun comes into this game hitting .372 and his on-base percentage is at .443. He has 32 hits this season along with 15 runs scored and 21 runs batted in. He's struck out 15 times and has walked 11 times. Domingo Santana is hitting .247 and he has an on-base percentage of .330. He has totaled 22 hits so far while scoring 11 runs and he's driven in 11. He has walked 11 times and has struck out 30 times. The Brewers have 201 hits, including 50 doubles and 27 home runs. They've stolen 17 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 6 times. Milwaukee has walked 102 times this season and they've struck out 238 times as a unit. They've left 162 men on base and have a team OPS of .728. They score 4.46 runs per contest and have scored a total of 116 runs so far this year.

Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 8-7 home record and a 10-17 overall mark. With an earned run average of 13.50, Alfredo Simon has a 0-3 record and a 2.85 WHIP. He has 16 strikeouts over the 13.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 28 hits. He has allowed 18.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 8.46. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 6.52 and they have given up 103 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 82 times and walking 56 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.23 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.43 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.40. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 241 base knocks and 141 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 46 home runs this year and they give up 1.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 124 hitters and struck out 194. They give up a walk 4.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.55 while their FIP as a staff is 5.71.

As a team, they are batting .231, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .229 average at home. The Reds hold a .372 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .288 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 7.44 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .226 and he has an OBP of .333. He has 21 hits this year along with 8 runs scored and 15 RBI. He's struck out 28 times and has walked on 14 occasions. Jay Bruce is hitting .244 and he has an OBP of .305. He has collected 21 hits so far while he's scored 10 runs and drove in 18. He has earned a walk 6 times and has punched out 21 times. The Reds as a unit have 201 base hits, including 49 doubles and 21 homers. They have 20 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 8 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 65 times this year and they have struck out 210 times. They've had 144 men left on base and have an OPS of .660. They score 3.7 runs per game and have totaled 100 runs so far this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 17-7-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 13-13-0 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 15-10-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 10-17-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

05/03/16 LF Ryan Braun Back "?" Wednesday vs. Los Angeles Angels
04/28/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
04/28/16 2B Scooter Gennett Oblique 15-day DL (4/28)
04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Will Smith Knee 15-day DL (3/25)

Cincinnati Reds

05/03/16 CF Billy Hamilton Thumb "?" Wednesday vs. San Francisco Giants
05/03/16 P Brandon Finnegan Hamstring "?" for next scheduled start
05/03/16 SS Zack Cozart Knee "?" Wednesday vs. San Francisco Giants
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 15-day DL (5/1)
05/02/16 P Jon Moscot Shoulder is upgraded to probable next start
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 60-day DL (3/31)
04/03/16 P John Lamb Back 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds

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