Saturday, September 17, 2016

Wrigley Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Zach Davies vs. Jake Arrieta

The Milwaukee Brewers visit Wrigley Field on Saturday to play the Chicago Cubs. The probable starters are Zach Davies for the Brewers and Jake Arrieta for the Cubs. The Brewers have a 69-71-7 over/under record and a 79-68-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Cubs are 77-69-0 against the run line and have a 66-73-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.

The Brewers head into this matchup with a 66-81 record, including 27-45 on the road. Starting pitcher Zach Davies has a 10-7 record with an earned run average of 3.87 and a WHIP of 1.23. He has 127 strikeouts over his 153.1 innings pitched and he has given up 152 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.83. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.76 and they have given up 475 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the bullpen while being struck out 441 times and walking 197 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.05 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.41 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.13. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 1,308 base hits and 597 earned runs. They have allowed 165 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 493 batters and struck out 1,070. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.43.

As a team, Milwaukee is batting .245, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .241 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.03 hits per game. Ryan Braun comes into this game hitting .306 and his on-base percentage is at .370. He has 143 hits this season along with 74 runs scored and 82 runs batted in. He's struck out 88 times and has walked 46 times. Jonathan Villar is hitting .289 and he has an on-base percentage of .369. He has totaled 156 hits so far while scoring 81 runs and he's driven in 55. He has walked 68 times and has struck out 161 times. The Brewers have 1,180 hits, including 225 doubles and 172 home runs. They've stolen 161 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 49 times. Milwaukee has walked 557 times this season and they've struck out 1,393 times as a unit. They've left 986 men on base and have a team OPS of .730. They score 4.15 runs per contest and have scored a total of 610 runs so far this year.

Chicago comes into this matchup with a 51-21 home record and a 93-53 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.91, Jake Arrieta has a 17-6 record and a 1.05 WHIP. He has 171 strikeouts over the 179.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 119 hits. He has allowed 6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.49. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.39 and they have given up 330 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .209 against the Cubs bullpen while being struck out 460 times and walking 177 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.83 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.84 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.04. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,004 base knocks and 450 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 148 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a staff has walked 450 hitters and struck out 1,297. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.10 while their FIP as a staff is 3.78.

As a team, they are batting .254, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .249 average at home. The Cubs hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.64 hits per contest. Kris Bryant comes into this matchup batting .295 and he has an OBP of .388. He has 164 hits this year along with 114 runs scored and 95 RBI. He's struck out 141 times and has walked on 69 occasions. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .290 and he has an OBP of .388. He has collected 155 hits so far while he's scored 88 runs and drove in 101. He has earned a walk 71 times and has punched out 97 times. The Cubs as a unit have 1,262 base hits, including 263 doubles and 181 homers. They have 57 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 31 times. Chicago as a team has walked 590 times this year and they have struck out 1,222 times. They've had 1,090 men left on base and have an OPS of .768. They score 4.97 runs per game and have totaled 726 runs so far this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 69-71-7 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 79-68-0 against the run line so far this season

Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs are 66-73-7 against the over/under so far this season

The Chicago Cubs are 77-69-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Chicago Cubs

09/15/16 1B Anthony Rizzo Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Friday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
09/15/16 3B Kris Bryant Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Friday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
08/12/16 P Pedro Strop Knee 15-day DL (8/11)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)

Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers

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