Sunday, August 7, 2016

Chase Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jimmy Nelson vs. Archie Bradley

The Milwaukee Brewers visit Chase Field on Sunday to play the Arizona Diamondbacks. The probable starters are Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers and Archie Bradley for the Diamondbacks. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +110 and Arizona at -120. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Brewers have a 49-51-7 over/under record and a 57-50-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Diamondbacks are 43-66-0 against the run line and have a 59-46-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 40% of the time.

The Brewers head into this matchup with a 48-59 record, including 18-34 on the road. Starting pitcher Jimmy Nelson has a 6-10 record with an earned run average of 3.74 and a WHIP of 1.45. He has 97 strikeouts over his 127.2 innings pitched and he has given up 126 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.78. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.84 and they have given up 355 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the bullpen while being struck out 342 times and walking 149 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.17 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.53 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 964 base hits and 445 earned runs. They have allowed 120 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 372 batters and struck out 792. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.42.

As a team, Milwaukee is batting .246, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .241 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .396 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.07 hits per game. Jonathan Villar comes into this game hitting .300 and his on-base percentage is at .384. He has 117 hits this season along with 55 runs scored and 38 runs batted in. He's struck out 116 times and has walked 54 times. Ryan Braun is hitting .319 and he has an on-base percentage of .384. He has totaled 107 hits so far while scoring 52 runs and he's driven in 49. He has walked 33 times and has struck out 60 times. The Brewers have 864 hits, including 160 doubles and 114 home runs. They've stolen 110 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 34 times. Milwaukee has walked 400 times this season and they've struck out 1,019 times as a unit. They've left 734 men on base and have a team OPS of .721. They score 4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 428 runs so far this year.

Arizona comes into this matchup with a 18-38 home record and a 44-65 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.75, Archie Bradley has a 4-7 record and a 1.52 WHIP. He has 80 strikeouts over the 85.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 87 hits. He has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.51. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.03 and they have given up 387 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .270 against the Diamondbacks bullpen while being struck out 326 times and walking 168 times this season. As a team, Arizona has allowed 9.72 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.07 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.03. The Diamondbacks pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,057 base knocks and 547 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 134 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Arizona as a staff has walked 405 hitters and struck out 878. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.49 while their FIP as a staff is 4.49.

As a team, they are batting .261, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .260 average at home. The Diamondbacks hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.1 hits per contest. Jean Segura comes into this matchup batting .307 and he has an OBP of .356. He has 131 hits this year along with 65 runs scored and 42 RBI. He's struck out 68 times and has walked on 25 occasions. Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .296 and he has an OBP of .411. He has collected 116 hits so far while he's scored 63 runs and drove in 69. He has earned a walk 74 times and has punched out 98 times. The Diamondbacks as a unit have 992 base hits, including 192 doubles and 122 homers. They have 70 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 22 times. Arizona as a team has walked 297 times this year and they have struck out 968 times. They've had 750 men left on base and have an OPS of .744. They score 4.38 runs per game and have totaled 477 runs so far this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 49-51-7 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 57-50-0 against the run line so far this season

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 59-46-4 against the over/under so far this season

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 43-66-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

07/25/16 3B Will Middlebrooks Leg 15-day DL (7/25)
06/10/16 RF Domingo Santana Elbow 15-day DL (6/8)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Arizona Diamondbacks

08/05/16 P Zack Greinke Oblique 15-day DL (6/29), expected to be activated and start Tuesday vs. NY Mets
07/24/16 SS Nick Ahmed Hip 15-day DL (7/23)
07/17/16 C Chris Herrmann Hamstring 15-day DL (7/17)
07/07/16 P Andrew Chafin Shoulder 15-day DL (7/4)
06/24/16 CF Socrates Brito Toe 15-day DL (6/23)
05/27/16 P Rubby De La Rosa Elbow 60-day DL (5/26)
04/02/16 CF A.J. Pollock Elbow 60-day DL (4/2), out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers

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