Saturday, August 6, 2016

Chase Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Matt Garza vs. Patrick Corbin

The Milwaukee Brewers visit Chase Field on Saturday to play the Arizona Diamondbacks. The probable starters are Matt Garza for the Brewers and Patrick Corbin for the Diamondbacks. The Brewers have a 49-50-7 over/under record and a 56-50-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Diamondbacks are 43-65-0 against the run line and have a 59-45-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 40% of the time.

The Brewers head into this matchup with a 48-58 record, including 18-33 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Garza has a 2-4 record with an earned run average of 5.32 and a WHIP of 1.61. He has 29 strikeouts over his 47.1 innings pitched and he has given up 60 hits so far this season. He has allowed 11.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.42. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.89 and they have given up 352 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the bullpen while being struck out 337 times and walking 147 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.52 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.26. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 957 base hits and 443 earned runs. They have allowed 118 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 368 batters and struck out 782. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.42.

As a team, Milwaukee is batting .247, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .243 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.09 hits per game. Jonathan Villar comes into this game hitting .297 and his on-base percentage is at .379. He has 115 hits this season along with 55 runs scored and 38 runs batted in. He's struck out 116 times and has walked 52 times. Ryan Braun is hitting .322 and he has an on-base percentage of .384. He has totaled 107 hits so far while scoring 52 runs and he's driven in 49. He has walked 31 times and has struck out 60 times. The Brewers have 858 hits, including 158 doubles and 113 home runs. They've stolen 108 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 34 times. Milwaukee has walked 393 times this season and they've struck out 1,011 times as a unit. They've left 725 men on base and have a team OPS of .723. They score 4.02 runs per contest and have scored a total of 426 runs so far this year.

Arizona comes into this matchup with a 17-38 home record and a 43-65 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.30, Patrick Corbin has a 4-10 record and a 1.57 WHIP. He has 98 strikeouts over the 125.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 145 hits. He has allowed 10.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.98. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.10 and they have given up 385 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .272 against the Diamondbacks bullpen while being struck out 320 times and walking 167 times this season. As a team, Arizona has allowed 9.77 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.09 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.07. The Diamondbacks pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,051 base knocks and 545 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 133 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Arizona as a staff has walked 398 hitters and struck out 870. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.50 while their FIP as a staff is 4.49.

As a team, they are batting .261, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .261 average at home. The Diamondbacks hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.12 hits per contest. Jean Segura comes into this matchup batting .310 and he has an OBP of .360. He has 131 hits this year along with 65 runs scored and 42 RBI. He's struck out 65 times and has walked on 25 occasions. Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .296 and he has an OBP of .409. He has collected 115 hits so far while he's scored 62 runs and drove in 69. He has earned a walk 72 times and has punched out 98 times. The Diamondbacks as a unit have 985 base hits, including 191 doubles and 120 homers. They have 70 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 22 times. Arizona as a team has walked 293 times this year and they have struck out 958 times. They've had 741 men left on base and have an OPS of .746. They score 4.39 runs per game and have totaled 474 runs so far this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 49-50-7 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 56-50-0 against the run line so far this season

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 59-45-4 against the over/under so far this season

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 43-65-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

07/25/16 3B Will Middlebrooks Leg 15-day DL (7/25)
06/10/16 RF Domingo Santana Elbow 15-day DL (6/8)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Arizona Diamondbacks

07/24/16 SS Nick Ahmed Hip 15-day DL (7/23)
07/17/16 C Chris Herrmann Hamstring 15-day DL (7/17)
07/07/16 P Andrew Chafin Shoulder 15-day DL (7/4)
07/03/16 P Zack Greinke Oblique 15-day DL (6/29)
06/24/16 CF Socrates Brito Toe 15-day DL (6/23)
05/27/16 P Rubby De La Rosa Elbow 60-day DL (5/26)
04/02/16 CF A.J. Pollock Elbow 60-day DL (4/2), out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers

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