Wednesday, July 20, 2016

Citizens Bank Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Wei-Yin Chen vs. Jeremy Hellickson

The Miami Marlins visit Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Wei-Yin Chen for the Marlins and Jeremy Hellickson for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at -120 and Philadelphia at +110. The over/under was set at 8. The Marlins have a 48-43-1 over/under record and a 47-45-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Phillies are 47-47-0 against the run line and have a 44-48-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.

The Marlins head into this matchup with a 50-42 record, including 26-23 on the road. Starting pitcher Wei-Yin Chen has a 5-3 record with an earned run average of 4.90 and a WHIP of 1.26. He has 84 strikeouts over his 104.2 innings pitched and he has given up 109 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.63. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.64 and they have given up 256 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the bullpen while being struck out 315 times and walking 132 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.32 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.72 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.02. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 758 base hits and 366 earned runs. They have allowed 91 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 325 batters and struck out 794. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.00.

As a team, Miami is batting .272, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .286 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.47 hits per game. Martin Prado comes into this game hitting .320 and his on-base percentage is at .370. He has 110 hits this season along with 40 runs scored and 32 runs batted in. He's struck out 42 times and has walked 27 times. Marcell Ozuna is hitting .304 and he has an on-base percentage of .355. He has totaled 102 hits so far while scoring 54 runs and he's driven in 50. He has walked 27 times and has struck out 76 times. The Marlins have 871 hits, including 153 doubles and 78 home runs. They've stolen 31 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 12 times. Miami has walked 264 times this season and they've struck out 708 times as a unit. They've left 700 men on base and have a team OPS of .739. They score 4.21 runs per contest and have scored a total of 387 runs so far this year.

Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 22-26 home record and a 43-51 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.03, Jeremy Hellickson has a 6-7 record and a 1.20 WHIP. He has 98 strikeouts over the 111.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 107 hits. He has allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.33. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 296 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 298 times and walking 115 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.04 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.52 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.32. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 836 base knocks and 399 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 119 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 252 hitters and struck out 788. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.12.

As a team, they are batting .240, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .219 average at home. The Phillies hold a .388 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .293 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.95 hits per contest. Maikel Franco comes into this matchup batting .259 and he has an OBP of .311. He has 86 hits this year along with 37 runs scored and 55 RBI. He's struck out 66 times and has walked on 25 occasions. Odubel Herrera is hitting .285 and he has an OBP of .369. He has collected 99 hits so far while he's scored 51 runs and drove in 33. He has earned a walk 45 times and has punched out 74 times. The Phillies as a unit have 747 base hits, including 139 doubles and 91 homers. They have 39 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 28 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 217 times this year and they have struck out 744 times. They've had 560 men left on base and have an OPS of .681. They score 3.59 runs per game and have totaled 337 runs so far this season.

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 48-43-1 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 47-45-0 against the run line so far this season

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 44-48-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 47-47-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Miami Marlins

07/06/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 15-day DL (7/3)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season

Philadelphia Phillies

05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)

Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Josh Schonwald