Wednesday, May 18, 2016

Citizens Bank Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Tom Koehler vs. Jeremy Hellickson

The Miami Marlins visit Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Tom Koehler for the Marlins and Jeremy Hellickson for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +100 and Philadelphia at -110. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Marlins have a 21-16-1 over/under record and a 21-17-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 55% of the time. The Phillies are 20-19-0 against the run line and have a 17-20-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.

The Marlins head into this matchup with a 21-17 record, including 13-7 on the road. Starting pitcher Tom Koehler has a 2-3 record with an earned run average of 5.14 and a WHIP of 1.66. He has 27 strikeouts over his 35 innings pitched and he has given up 38 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.55. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.65 and they have given up 121 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the bullpen while being struck out 119 times and walking 59 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.47 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.17 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 3.97. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 318 base hits and 149 earned runs. They have allowed 27 home runs this season and they allow 0.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 156 batters and struck out 307. They walk 4.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 3.82.

As a team, Miami is batting .275, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .287 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.45 hits per game. Giancarlo Stanton comes into this game hitting .233 and his on-base percentage is at .346. He has 30 hits this season along with 20 runs scored and 25 runs batted in. He's struck out 45 times and has walked 22 times. Christian Yelich is hitting .311 and he has an on-base percentage of .420. He has totaled 42 hits so far while scoring 23 runs and he's driven in 19. He has walked 24 times and has struck out 28 times. The Marlins have 359 hits, including 66 doubles and 37 home runs. They've stolen 13 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 7 times. Miami has walked 117 times this season and they've struck out 285 times as a unit. They've left 290 men on base and have a team OPS of .761. They score 4.18 runs per contest and have scored a total of 159 runs so far this year.

Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 10-7 home record and a 22-17 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.12, Jeremy Hellickson has a 3-2 record and a 1.28 WHIP. He has 46 strikeouts over the 43.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 44 hits. He has allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.56. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.05 and they have given up 115 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 125 times and walking 55 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 8.04 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.08 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 3.91. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 311 base knocks and 151 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 46 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 114 hitters and struck out 351. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 3.82.

As a team, they are batting .235, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .230 average at home. The Phillies hold a .361 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .293 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.64 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .343 and he has an OBP of .453. He has 48 hits this year along with 25 runs scored and 13 RBI. He's struck out 27 times and has walked on 29 occasions. Maikel Franco is hitting .248 and he has an OBP of .287. He has collected 36 hits so far while he's scored 12 runs and drove in 23. He has earned a walk 8 times and has punched out 30 times. The Phillies as a unit have 298 base hits, including 54 doubles and 29 homers. They have 15 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 101 times this year and they have struck out 307 times. They've had 234 men left on base and have an OPS of .655. They score 3.31 runs per game and have totaled 129 runs so far this season.

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 21-16-1 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 21-17-0 against the run line so far this season

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 17-20-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 20-19-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Miami Marlins

05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/20/16 P Edwin Jackson Tricep 15-day DL (4/18)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)

Philadelphia Phillies

05/17/16 C Cameron Rupp Ankle "?" Tuesday vs. Miami Marlins
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
04/04/16 P Michael Mariot Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Mario Hollands Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Cody Asche Ribs 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)

Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins

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