Tuesday, May 17, 2016

Citizens Bank Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Wei-Yin Chen vs. Vincent Velasquez

The Miami Marlins visit Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Wei-Yin Chen for the Marlins and Vincent Velasquez for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +100 and Philadelphia at -110. The over/under was set at 7. The Marlins have a 20-16-1 over/under record and a 20-17-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Phillies are 20-18-0 against the run line and have a 16-20-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.

The Marlins head into this matchup with a 20-17 record, including 12-7 on the road. Starting pitcher Wei-Yin Chen has a 3-1 record with an earned run average of 4.40 and a WHIP of 1.28. He has 36 strikeouts over his 43 innings pitched and he has given up 46 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.54. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.66 and they have given up 119 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the bullpen while being struck out 115 times and walking 58 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.43 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.15 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.02. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 308 base hits and 147 earned runs. They have allowed 27 home runs this season and they allow 0.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 154 batters and struck out 298. They walk 4.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 3.84.

As a team, Miami is batting .274, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .286 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .419 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.43 hits per game. Giancarlo Stanton comes into this game hitting .238 and his on-base percentage is at .349. He has 30 hits this season along with 20 runs scored and 25 runs batted in. He's struck out 43 times and has walked 21 times. Christian Yelich is hitting .308 and he has an on-base percentage of .420. He has totaled 40 hits so far while scoring 23 runs and he's driven in 18. He has walked 24 times and has struck out 27 times. The Marlins have 349 hits, including 61 doubles and 35 home runs. They've stolen 13 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 7 times. Miami has walked 110 times this season and they've struck out 277 times as a unit. They've left 278 men on base and have a team OPS of .753. They score 4.16 runs per contest and have scored a total of 154 runs so far this year.

Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 10-6 home record and a 22-16 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.70, Vincent Velasquez has a 4-1 record and a 0.99 WHIP. He has 49 strikeouts over the 43.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 30 hits. He has allowed 6.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.68. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.93 and they have given up 111 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 121 times and walking 50 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 7.99 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.11 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.85. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 301 base knocks and 146 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 44 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 107 hitters and struck out 343. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.20 while their FIP as a staff is 3.73.

As a team, they are batting .233, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .227 average at home. The Phillies hold a .363 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .292 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.58 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .333 and he has an OBP of .448. He has 45 hits this year along with 24 runs scored and 13 RBI. He's struck out 27 times and has walked on 29 occasions. Maikel Franco is hitting .254 and he has an OBP of .289. He has collected 36 hits so far while he's scored 12 runs and drove in 22. He has earned a walk 7 times and has punched out 28 times. The Phillies as a unit have 288 base hits, including 53 doubles and 29 homers. They have 15 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 99 times this year and they have struck out 298 times. They've had 224 men left on base and have an OPS of .655. They score 3.32 runs per game and have totaled 126 runs so far this season.

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 20-16-1 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 20-17-0 against the run line so far this season

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 16-20-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 20-18-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Miami Marlins

05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/20/16 P Edwin Jackson Tricep 15-day DL (4/18)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)

Philadelphia Phillies

05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
04/04/16 P Michael Mariot Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Mario Hollands Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Cody Asche Ribs 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)

Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins

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