Monday, May 16, 2016

Citizens Bank Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Adam Conley vs. Jerad Eickhoff

The Miami Marlins visit Citizens Bank Park on Monday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Adam Conley for the Marlins and Jerad Eickhoff for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at -106 and Philadelphia at -104. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Marlins have a 20-15-1 over/under record and a 19-17-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Phillies are 20-17-0 against the run line and have a 15-20-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.

The Marlins head into this matchup with a 19-17 record, including 11-7 on the road. Starting pitcher Adam Conley has a 2-2 record with an earned run average of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.24. He has 38 strikeouts over his 36.1 innings pitched and he has given up 30 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.47. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have given up 116 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the bullpen while being struck out 111 times and walking 57 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.47 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.96 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.11. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 301 base hits and 146 earned runs. They have allowed 26 home runs this season and they allow 0.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 150 batters and struck out 283. They walk 4.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 3.89.

As a team, Miami is batting .274, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .287 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.44 hits per game. Giancarlo Stanton comes into this game hitting .238 and his on-base percentage is at .352. He has 29 hits this season along with 19 runs scored and 24 runs batted in. He's struck out 43 times and has walked 21 times. Christian Yelich is hitting .317 and he has an on-base percentage of .431. He has totaled 40 hits so far while scoring 23 runs and he's driven in 18. He has walked 24 times and has struck out 26 times. The Marlins have 340 hits, including 61 doubles and 34 home runs. They've stolen 13 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 7 times. Miami has walked 108 times this season and they've struck out 272 times as a unit. They've left 272 men on base and have a team OPS of .755. They score 4.14 runs per contest and have scored a total of 149 runs so far this year.

Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 10-5 home record and a 22-15 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.43, Jerad Eickhoff has a 1-5 record and a 1.23 WHIP. He has 36 strikeouts over the 40.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 42 hits. He has allowed 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.57. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.96 and they have given up 105 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 116 times and walking 46 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 7.83 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.19 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.71. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 287 base knocks and 137 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 43 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 100 hitters and struck out 337. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.17 while their FIP as a staff is 3.69.

As a team, they are batting .231, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .220 average at home. The Phillies hold a .364 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .288 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.46 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .336 and he has an OBP of .447. He has 44 hits this year along with 23 runs scored and 13 RBI. He's struck out 27 times and has walked on 27 occasions. Maikel Franco is hitting .241 and he has an OBP of .279. He has collected 33 hits so far while he's scored 12 runs and drove in 19. He has earned a walk 7 times and has punched out 28 times. The Phillies as a unit have 276 base hits, including 52 doubles and 29 homers. They have 15 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 92 times this year and they have struck out 288 times. They've had 208 men left on base and have an OPS of .652. They score 3.3 runs per game and have totaled 122 runs so far this season.

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 20-15-1 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 19-17-0 against the run line so far this season

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 15-20-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 20-17-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Miami Marlins

05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/20/16 P Edwin Jackson Tricep 15-day DL (4/18)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)

Philadelphia Phillies

05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 15-day DL (4/24); out for season
04/14/16 P Daniel Stumpf Suspension 80-game suspension
04/04/16 P Michael Mariot Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Mario Hollands Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Aaron Altherr Wrist 60-day DL (4/2)
03/31/16 LF Cody Asche Ribs 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)

Tony's Pick: Take the Phillies

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