Monday, August 29, 2016

Citi Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jose Fernandez vs. Rafael Montero

The Miami Marlins head to Citi Field on Monday to take on the New York Mets. The probable pitchers are Jose Fernandez for the Marlins and Rafael Montero for the Mets. The opening line for this game has Miami at +175 and New York at -185. The over/under is 9. The Marlins have a 66-61-2 over/under mark and a 65-64-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Mets are 58-71-0 against the run line and have a 61-65-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 45% of the time.

The Marlins head into this game with a 67-62 record, and they are 34-31 on the road. Starting pitcher Jose Fernandez has a 13-7 record with an ERA of 2.91 and a WHIP of 1.12. He has 213 strikeouts during his 148.2 innings pitched and he has given up 122 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.24. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.54 and they have allowed 372 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the pen while they've been struck out 453 times and walked 203 times this year. As a unit, Miami has given up 8.36 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.76 hitters per nine. They are 8th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.88. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 1,070 base hits and 497 earned runs. They have allowed 116 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 468 batters and struck out 1,120. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 3.87.

As a team, Miami is hitting .269, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .281 average on the road. The Marlins have a .403 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .328 which is good for 9th in the league. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.35 hits per contest. Christian Yelich comes into this game hitting .309 and his on-base percentage is at .383. He has 143 hits this season along with 66 runs scored and 76 runs batted in. He's struck out 112 times and has walked 54 times. Martin Prado is hitting .323 and he has an on-base percentage of .376. He has totaled 158 hits so far while scoring 59 runs and he's driven in 61. He has walked 41 times and has struck out 54 times. The Marlins have 1,206 hits, including 215 doubles and 106 home runs. They've stolen 47 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 18 times. Miami has walked 364 times this season and they've struck out 973 times as a unit. They've left 960 men on base and have a team OPS of .731. They score 4.19 runs per contest and have scored a total of 540 runs so far this year.

New York comes into this game with a 33-30 home mark and a 66-63 overall record. With an ERA of 11.57, Rafael Montero has a 0-0 record and a 2.57 WHIP. He has 3 strikeouts over the 2.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 5 hits. He has allowed 19.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 1.86. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.69 and they have given up 354 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 421 times and walking 151 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.74 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.65 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.66. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,112 base knocks and 464 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 122 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 341 hitters and struck out 1,102. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 3.58.

As a team, they are batting .242, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .233 average at home. The Mets hold a .413 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.1 hits per contest. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this matchup batting .295 and he has an OBP of .367. He has 107 hits this year along with 55 runs scored and 67 RBI. He's struck out 89 times and has walked on 40 occasions. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .269 and he has an OBP of .320. He has collected 109 hits so far while he's scored 47 runs and drove in 42. He has earned a walk 24 times and has punched out 86 times. The Mets as a unit have 1,045 base hits, including 189 doubles and 173 homers. They have 32 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. New York as a team has walked 393 times this year and they have struck out 1,058 times. They've had 869 men left on base and have an OPS of .724. They score 3.94 runs per game and have totaled 508 runs so far this season.

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 66-61-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 65-64-0 against the run line so far this season

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 61-65-3 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 58-71-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Miami Marlins

08/27/16 P Andrew Cashner Finger "?" for next scheduled start
08/24/16 P Jose Fernandez Calf "?" for next scheduled start
08/23/16 2B Derek Dietrich Knee 15-day DL (8/19)
08/23/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 60-day DL (7/3)
08/14/16 P Adam Conley Finger 15-day DL (8/14)
08/14/16 RF Giancarlo Stanton Groin 15-day DL (8/14)
07/25/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow 15-day DL (7/21)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)

New York Mets

08/28/16 RF Jay Bruce Calf probable Sunday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
08/27/16 RF Justin Ruggiano Shoulder 15-day DL (8/27)
08/26/16 P Jacob deGrom Rest expected to miss next scheduled start Monday vs Miami Marlins
08/26/16 P Seth Lugo Leg "?" for next scheduled start
08/23/16 P Steven Matz Shoulder 15-day DL (8/15)
08/23/16 P Jon Niese Knee 15-day DL (8/24)
07/31/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (7/29)
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 60-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 60-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)

Guy's Pick: Take the Mets

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