Wednesday, April 13, 2016

Citi Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Adam Conley vs. Logan Verrett

The Miami Marlins visit Citi Field on Wednesday to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Adam Conley for the Marlins and Logan Verrett for the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +141 and New York at -151. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Marlins have a 4-1-0 over/under record and a 3-2-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 60% of the time. The Mets are 2-4-0 against the run line and have a 3-3-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 33% of the time.

The Marlins head into this matchup with a 2-3 record, including 2-1 on the road. Starting pitcher Adam Conley held a 4-1 record with an earned run average of 3.76 and a WHIP of 1.28 last season. He had 59 strikeouts over his 67 innings pitched and he also gave up 65 hits over that time period. He allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 3.81. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.09 and they have given up 21 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the bullpen while being struck out 19 times and walking 15 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 9.59 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 5.09. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 49 base hits and 26 earned runs. They have allowed 6 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 25 batters and struck out 46. They walk 4.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.61 and their FIP as a unit is 4.67.

As a team, Miami is batting .299, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .318 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .467 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .357 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 11 hits per game. Dee Gordon comes into this game hitting .400 and his on-base percentage is at .423. He has 10 hits this season along with 4 runs scored and 2 runs batted in. He's struck out 1 time and has walked 1 time. Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .286 and he has an on-base percentage of .333. He has totaled 6 hits so far while scoring 4 runs and he's driven in 6. He has walked 2 times and has struck out 7 times. The Marlins have 55 hits, including 13 doubles, 3 triples, and 4 home runs. They've stolen 2 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 2 times. Miami has walked 18 times this season and they've struck out 41 times as a unit. They've left 40 men on base and have a team OPS of .825. They score 5.6 runs per contest and have scored a total of 28 runs so far this year.

New York comes into this matchup with a 1-3 home record and a 2-4 overall mark. With an earned run average last season of 3.59, Logan Verrett had a 1-2 record and a 1.03 WHIP. He had 39 strikeouts over the 47.2 innings he pitched during which he gave up 34 hits. He allowed 6.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.2. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.08 and they have given up 19 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 26 times and walking 5 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.83 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.17 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.40. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 52 base knocks and 20 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 4 home runs this year and they give up 0.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 12 hitters and struck out 54. They give up a walk 2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.21 while their FIP as a staff is 2.96.

As a team, they are batting .185, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .178 average at home. The Mets hold a .251 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .277 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 6 hits per contest. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this matchup batting .250 and he has an OBP of .308. He has 6 hits this year along with 5 runs scored and 3 RBI. He's struck out 7 times and has walked on 2 occasions. Lucas Duda is hitting .238 and he has an OBP of .304. He has collected 5 hits so far while he's scored 3 runs and drove in 2. He has earned a walk 2 times and has punched out 7 times. The Mets as a unit have 36 base hits, including 7 doubles, 0 triples, and 2 homers. They have 3 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 1 time. New York as a team has walked 24 times this year and they have struck out 52 times. They've had 44 men left on base and have an OPS of .529. They score 2.83 runs per game and have totaled 17 runs so far this season.

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 4-1-0 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 3-2-0 against the run line so far this season

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 3-3-0 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 2-4-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Miami Marlins

04/10/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow "?" next start
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)

New York Mets

04/10/16 P Jacob deGrom Oblique expected to miss next scheduled start Wednesday vs Miami Marlins
04/04/16 P Joshua Edgin Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)

Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins

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