Tuesday, April 12, 2016

Citi Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jose Fernandez vs. Noah Syndergaard

The Miami Marlins visit Citi Field on Tuesday to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Jose Fernandez for the Marlins and Noah Syndergaard for the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +132 and New York at -142. The over/under was set at 6.5. The Marlins have a 3-1-0 over/under record and a 2-2-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Mets are 2-3-0 against the run line and have a 2-3-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 40% of the time.

The Marlins head into this matchup with a 1-3 record, including 1-1 on the road. Starting pitcher Jose Fernandez held a 6-1 record with an earned run average of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.16 last season. He had 79 strikeouts over his 64.2 innings pitched and he also gave up 61 hits over that time period. He allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 2.24. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.79 and they have given up 18 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the bullpen while being struck out 14 times and walking 14 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 10.22 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.24 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 5.59. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 42 base hits and 23 earned runs. They have allowed 6 home runs this season and they allow 1.5 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 21 batters and struck out 38. They walk 5.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.70 and their FIP as a unit is 4.97.

As a team, Miami is batting .278, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .286 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 10 hits per game. Dee Gordon comes into this game hitting .421 and his on-base percentage is at .450. He has 8 hits this season along with 3 runs scored and 1 run batted in. He's struck out 1 time and has walked 1 time. Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .294 and he has an on-base percentage of .316. He has totaled 5 hits so far while scoring 2 runs and he's driven in 4. He has walked 1 time and has struck out 5 times. The Marlins have 40 hits, including 11 doubles, 3 triples, and 2 home runs. They've stolen 1 base while they've been thrown out stealing 2 times. Miami has walked 13 times this season and they've struck out 30 times as a unit. They've left 30 men on base and have a team OPS of .773. They score 4.5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 18 runs so far this year.

New York comes into this matchup with a 1-2 home record and a 2-3 overall mark. With an earned run average last season of 3.24, Noah Syndergaard had a 9-7 record and a 1.05 WHIP. He had 166 strikeouts over the 150 innings he pitched during which he gave up 126 hits. He allowed 7.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 3.25. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 1.26 and they have given up 10 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .189 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 16 times and walking 2 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 7.57 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 2.05. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 37 base knocks and 10 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 2 home runs this year and they give up 0.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 7 hitters and struck out 43. They give up a walk 1.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.00 while their FIP as a staff is 2.33.

As a team, they are batting .180, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .168 average at home. The Mets hold a .255 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .275 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 5.8 hits per contest. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this matchup batting .200 and he has an OBP of .273. He has 4 hits this year along with 4 runs scored and 2 RBI. He's struck out 7 times and has walked on 2 occasions. Lucas Duda is hitting .222 and he has an OBP of .300. He has collected 4 hits so far while he's scored 2 runs and drove in 2. He has earned a walk 2 times and has punched out 6 times. The Mets as a unit have 29 base hits, including 6 doubles, 0 triples, and 2 homers. They have 3 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 1 time. New York as a team has walked 20 times this year and they have struck out 44 times. They've had 36 men left on base and have an OPS of .529. They score 2.8 runs per game and have totaled 14 runs so far this season.

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 3-1-0 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 2-2-0 against the run line so far this season

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 2-3-0 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 2-3-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Miami Marlins

04/10/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow "?" next start
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)

New York Mets

04/10/16 P Jacob deGrom Oblique expected to miss next scheduled start Wednesday vs Miami Marlins
04/04/16 P Joshua Edgin Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/25)

Josh's Pick: Take the Mets

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