Thursday, June 9, 2016

Target Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Tom Koehler vs. Ervin Santana

The Miami Marlins visit Target Field on Thursday to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Tom Koehler for the Marlins and Ervin Santana for the Twins. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +105 and Minnesota at -115. The over/under was set at 9. The Marlins have a 30-27-1 over/under record and a 27-31-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Twins are 24-33-0 against the run line and have a 32-22-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 42% of the time.

The Marlins head into this matchup with a 30-28 record, including 16-12 on the road. Starting pitcher Tom Koehler has a 3-6 record with an earned run average of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.60. He has 45 strikeouts over his 60 innings pitched and he has given up 60 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.44. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.06 and they have given up 176 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the bullpen while being struck out 189 times and walking 95 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.35 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.52 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 3.96. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 481 base hits and 228 earned runs. They have allowed 45 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 231 batters and struck out 491. They walk 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 3.82.

As a team, Miami is batting .266, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .280 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.16 hits per game. Marcell Ozuna comes into this game hitting .312 and his on-base percentage is at .361. He has 67 hits this season along with 36 runs scored and 29 runs batted in. He's struck out 50 times and has walked 17 times. Martin Prado is hitting .308 and he has an on-base percentage of .348. He has totaled 66 hits so far while scoring 21 runs and he's driven in 16. He has walked 13 times and has struck out 26 times. The Marlins have 531 hits, including 101 doubles and 48 home runs. They've stolen 18 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 10 times. Miami has walked 162 times this season and they've struck out 442 times as a unit. They've left 437 men on base and have a team OPS of .725. They score 3.84 runs per contest and have scored a total of 223 runs so far this year.

Minnesota comes into this matchup with a 10-18 home record and a 17-40 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.50, Ervin Santana has a 1-5 record and a 1.46 WHIP. He has 45 strikeouts over the 54 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 58 hits. He has allowed 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.55. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.33 and they have given up 213 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 204 times and walking 64 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.05 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.12 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.00. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 563 base knocks and 280 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 82 home runs this year and they give up 1.5 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 160 hitters and struck out 455. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.46.

As a team, they are batting .242, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .251 average at home. The Twins hold a .392 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.28 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .281 and he has an OBP of .388. He has 57 hits this year along with 20 runs scored and 21 RBI. He's struck out 39 times and has walked on 36 occasions. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .337 and he has an OBP of .364. He has collected 63 hits so far while he's scored 29 runs and drove in 24. He has earned a walk 6 times and has punched out 31 times. The Twins as a unit have 472 base hits, including 92 doubles and 61 homers. They have 37 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 12 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 174 times this year and they have struck out 509 times. They've had 404 men left on base and have an OPS of .701. They score 3.77 runs per game and have totaled 215 runs so far this season.

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 30-27-1 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 27-31-0 against the run line so far this season

Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 32-22-3 against the over/under so far this season

The Minnesota Twins are 24-33-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Miami Marlins

05/26/16 P Bryan Morris Back 15-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season

Minnesota Twins

06/04/16 P Alex Meyer Shoulder 15-day DL
05/31/16 CF Danny Santana Hamstring 15-day DL (5/31)
05/31/16 3B Miguel Sano Hamstring 15-day DL (6/1)
05/25/16 RF Darin Mastroianni Oblique 15-day DL (5/22)
04/27/16 P Kyle Gibson Back 15-day DL (4/23)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11)

Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn