Saturday, April 30, 2016

Miller Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Wei-Yin Chen vs. Chase Anderson

The Miami Marlins visit Miller Park on Saturday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Wei-Yin Chen for the Marlins and Chase Anderson for the Brewers. The Marlins have a 12-9-0 over/under record and a 11-10-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Brewers are 10-11-0 against the run line and have a 13-7-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.

The Marlins head into this matchup with a 10-11 record, including 8-4 on the road. Starting pitcher Wei-Yin Chen has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.16. He has 20 strikeouts over his 25 innings pitched and he has given up 25 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.06. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.96 and they have given up 65 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the bullpen while being struck out 66 times and walking 32 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.33 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.23 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 3.97. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 174 base hits and 83 earned runs. They have allowed 15 home runs this season and they allow 0.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 86 batters and struck out 172. They walk 4.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 3.79.

As a team, Miami is batting .265, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .277 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .390 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.19 hits per game. Giancarlo Stanton comes into this game hitting .253 and his on-base percentage is at .352. He has 19 hits this season along with 11 runs scored and 18 runs batted in. He's struck out 28 times and has walked 11 times. Christian Yelich is hitting .365 and he has an on-base percentage of .478. He has totaled 27 hits so far while scoring 13 runs and he's driven in 8. He has walked 15 times and has struck out 14 times. The Marlins have 193 hits, including 34 doubles and 15 home runs. They've stolen 9 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 5 times. Miami has walked 59 times this season and they've struck out 164 times as a unit. They've left 155 men on base and have a team OPS of .713. They score 3.76 runs per contest and have scored a total of 79 runs so far this year.

Milwaukee comes into this matchup with a 5-6 home record and a 8-13 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.50, Chase Anderson has a 1-2 record and a 1.65 WHIP. He has 15 strikeouts over the 20 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 27 hits. He has allowed 12.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.45. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.02 and they have given up 84 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .279 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 62 times and walking 41 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 10.55 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.9 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.60. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 211 base knocks and 112 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 32 home runs this year and they give up 1.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 90 hitters and struck out 138. They give up a walk 4.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 6.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.67 while their FIP as a staff is 5.50.

As a team, they are batting .228, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .255 average at home. The Brewers hold a .378 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.19 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup batting .352 and he has an OBP of .425. He has 25 hits this year along with 12 runs scored and 17 RBI. He's struck out 13 times and has walked on 9 occasions. Domingo Santana is hitting .260 and he has an OBP of .341. He has collected 19 hits so far while he's scored 9 runs and drove in 9. He has earned a walk 9 times and has punched out 25 times. The Brewers as a unit have 151 base hits, including 39 doubles and 20 homers. They have 13 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 82 times this year and they have struck out 200 times. They've had 132 men left on base and have an OPS of .690. They score 3.86 runs per game and have totaled 81 runs so far this season.

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 12-9-0 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 11-10-0 against the run line so far this season

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 13-7-1 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 10-11-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Miami Marlins

04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/20/16 P Edwin Jackson Tricep 15-day DL (4/18)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)

Milwaukee Brewers

04/28/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
04/28/16 2B Scooter Gennett Oblique 15-day DL (4/28)
04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Will Smith Knee 15-day DL (3/25)

Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers

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