Thursday, April 28, 2016

Dodger Stadium

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jose Fernandez vs. Kenta Maeda

The Miami Marlins visit Dodger Stadium on Thursday to play the Los Angeles Dodgers. The probable starters are Jose Fernandez for the Marlins and Kenta Maeda for the Dodgers. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +130 and Los Angeles at -140. The over/under was set at 6.5. The Marlins have a 11-8-0 over/under record and a 9-10-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Dodgers are 10-11-0 against the run line and have a 7-13-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.

The Marlins head into this matchup with a 8-11 record, including 6-4 on the road. Starting pitcher Jose Fernandez has a 1-2 record with an earned run average of 4.37 and a WHIP of 1.28. He has 32 strikeouts over his 22.2 innings pitched and he has given up 18 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.44. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.03 and they have given up 62 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the bullpen while being struck out 60 times and walking 28 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.68 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.26 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 164 base hits and 80 earned runs. They have allowed 15 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 77 batters and struck out 156. They walk 4.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 3.87.

As a team, Miami is batting .267, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .284 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .395 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.26 hits per game. Dee Gordon comes into this game hitting .271 and his on-base percentage is at .287. He has 23 hits this season along with 11 runs scored and 4 runs batted in. He's struck out 16 times and has walked 2 times. Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .246 and he has an on-base percentage of .338. He has totaled 17 hits so far while scoring 10 runs and he's driven in 16. He has walked 9 times and has struck out 26 times. The Marlins have 176 hits, including 33 doubles and 13 home runs. They've stolen 9 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 5 times. Miami has walked 55 times this season and they've struck out 150 times as a unit. They've left 141 men on base and have a team OPS of .721. They score 3.79 runs per contest and have scored a total of 72 runs so far this year.

Los Angeles comes into this matchup with a 4-4 home record and a 12-9 overall mark. With an earned run average of 0.36, Kenta Maeda has a 3-0 record and a 0.87 WHIP. He has 23 strikeouts over the 25.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 17 hits. He has allowed 6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.51. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.84 and they have given up 48 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .205 against the Dodgers bullpen while being struck out 54 times and walking 21 times this season. As a team, Los Angeles has allowed 7.68 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.06 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.53. The Dodgers pitchers as a team have surrendered 158 base knocks and 74 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 16 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 56 hitters and struck out 160. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.14 while their FIP as a staff is 3.51.

As a team, they are batting .229, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .227 average at home. The Dodgers hold a .345 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.43 hits per contest. Adrian Gonzalez comes into this matchup batting .333 and he has an OBP of .404. He has 26 hits this year along with 9 runs scored and 15 RBI. He's struck out 18 times and has walked on 10 occasions. Joc Pederson is hitting .276 and he has an OBP of .382. He has collected 16 hits so far while he's scored 12 runs and drove in 10. He has earned a walk 9 times and has punched out 21 times. The Dodgers as a unit have 186 base hits, including 42 doubles and 15 homers. They have 7 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 4 times. Los Angeles as a team has walked 70 times this year and they have struck out 168 times. They've had 155 men left on base and have an OPS of .714. They score 4.71 runs per game and have totaled 99 runs so far this season.

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 11-8-0 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 9-10-0 against the run line so far this season

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 7-13-1 against the over/under so far this season

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 10-11-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Miami Marlins

04/20/16 P Edwin Jackson Tricep 15-day DL (4/18)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)

Los Angeles Dodgers

04/27/16 P Scott Kazmir Thumb expected to start Wednesday vs. Miami Marlins
04/23/16 P Yimi Garcia Bicep 15-day DL (4/23)
04/11/16 LF Scott Van Slyke Back 15-day DL (4/10)
04/05/16 P Brandon McCarthy Elbow 60-day DL (2/19)
04/05/16 P Frankie Montas Ribs 60-day DL (2/20)
04/04/16 P Josh Ravin Forearm 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Michael Bolsinge Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Brett Anderson Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 3B Alex Guerrero Knee 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Hyun-Jin Ryu Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 LF Andre Ethier Leg 60-day DL (3/25)

Guy's Pick: Take the Dodgers

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn