Saturday, September 3, 2016

Progressive Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jose Fernandez vs. Trevor Bauer

The Miami Marlins visit Progressive Field on Saturday to play the Cleveland Indians. The probable starters are Jose Fernandez for the Marlins and Trevor Bauer for the Indians. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at -120 and Cleveland at +110. The over/under was set at 7. The Marlins have a 68-64-2 over/under record and a 66-68-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Indians are 64-68-0 against the run line and have a 64-58-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.

The Marlins head into this matchup with a 68-66 record, including 35-34 on the road. Starting pitcher Jose Fernandez has a 13-7 record with an earned run average of 2.79 and a WHIP of 1.12. He has 219 strikeouts over his 154.2 innings pitched and he has given up 125 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.27. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.64 and they have given up 386 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the bullpen while being struck out 463 times and walking 207 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.41 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.63 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.90. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 1,116 base hits and 518 earned runs. They have allowed 123 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 485 batters and struck out 1,146. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 3.92.

As a team, Miami is batting .268, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .278 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.28 hits per game. Martin Prado comes into this game hitting .317 and his on-base percentage is at .372. He has 161 hits this season along with 61 runs scored and 61 runs batted in. He's struck out 56 times and has walked 44 times. Christian Yelich is hitting .310 and he has an on-base percentage of .386. He has totaled 149 hits so far while scoring 70 runs and he's driven in 83. He has walked 58 times and has struck out 114 times. The Marlins have 1,243 hits, including 225 doubles and 110 home runs. They've stolen 50 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 18 times. Miami has walked 381 times this season and they've struck out 1,006 times as a unit. They've left 994 men on base and have a team OPS of .728. They score 4.13 runs per contest and have scored a total of 554 runs so far this year.

Cleveland comes into this matchup with a 42-23 home record and a 76-56 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.73, Trevor Bauer has a 9-6 record and a 1.30 WHIP. He has 135 strikeouts over the 152 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 139 hits. He has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.9. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.37 and they have given up 348 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 392 times and walking 155 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 8.26 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.62 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.81. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,090 base knocks and 503 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 155 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a staff has walked 386 hitters and struck out 1,138. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.96.

As a team, they are batting .265, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .294 average at home. The Indians hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.11 hits per contest. Francisco Lindor comes into this matchup batting .313 and he has an OBP of .357. He has 161 hits this year along with 84 runs scored and 65 RBI. He's struck out 75 times and has walked on 38 occasions. Jason Kipnis is hitting .284 and he has an OBP of .342. He has collected 144 hits so far while he's scored 77 runs and drove in 72. He has earned a walk 46 times and has punched out 119 times. The Indians as a unit have 1,202 base hits, including 244 doubles and 165 homers. They have 106 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 27 times. Cleveland as a team has walked 408 times this year and they have struck out 1,038 times. They've had 861 men left on base and have an OPS of .765. They score 4.89 runs per game and have totaled 646 runs so far this season.

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 68-64-2 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 66-68-0 against the run line so far this season

Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Cleveland Indians are 64-58-10 against the over/under so far this season

The Cleveland Indians are 64-68-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Miami Marlins

09/01/16 CF Marcell Ozuna Wrist "?" Friday vs. Cleveland Indians
08/31/16 P David Phelps Oblique 15-day DL (8/30)
08/23/16 2B Derek Dietrich Knee 15-day DL (8/19)
08/23/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 60-day DL (7/3)
08/14/16 P Adam Conley Finger 15-day DL (8/14)
08/14/16 RF Giancarlo Stanton Groin 15-day DL (8/14)
07/25/16 P Wei-Yin Chen Elbow 15-day DL (7/21)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)

Cleveland Indians

08/31/16 C Yan Gomes Shoulder 60-day DL (7/18)
08/17/16 P Josh Tomlin Personal expected to miss 3-5 days
07/18/16 P Tommy Hunter Back 15-day DL (7/10)
07/07/16 P Zach McAllister Hip 15-day DL (7/6)
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/10); out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins

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