Monday, August 22, 2016

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Kenta Maeda vs. Homer Bailey

The Los Angeles Dodgers visit Great American Ball Park on Monday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Kenta Maeda for the Dodgers and Homer Bailey for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Los Angeles at -137 and Cincinnati at +127. The over/under was set at 9. The Dodgers have a 57-58-8 over/under record and a 54-69-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Reds are 66-56-0 against the run line and have a 67-45-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.

The Dodgers head into this matchup with a 67-55 record, including 29-31 on the road. Starting pitcher Kenta Maeda has a 12-7 record with an earned run average of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.07. He has 138 strikeouts over his 136.2 innings pitched and he has given up 111 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.67. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.27 and they have given up 336 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .210 against the bullpen while being struck out 445 times and walking 144 times this season. As a team, Los Angeles has allowed 9.63 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.19 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.62. The Dodgers pitchers have collectively given up 945 base hits and 463 earned runs. They have allowed 129 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Los Angeles as a pitching staff has walked 348 batters and struck out 1,133. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.18 and their FIP as a unit is 3.68.

As a team, Los Angeles is batting .262, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .263 average away from home. The Dodgers hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.82 hits per game. Corey Seager comes into this game hitting .314 and his on-base percentage is at .369. He has 149 hits this season along with 80 runs scored and 57 runs batted in. He's struck out 96 times and has walked 40 times. Adrian Gonzalez is hitting .297 and he has an on-base percentage of .368. He has totaled 128 hits so far while scoring 53 runs and he's driven in 62. He has walked 47 times and has struck out 90 times. The Dodgers have 1,042 hits, including 216 doubles and 142 home runs. They've stolen 35 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 20 times. Los Angeles has walked 400 times this season and they've struck out 978 times as a unit. They've left 842 men on base and have a team OPS of .731. They score 4.47 runs per contest and have scored a total of 545 runs so far this year.

Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 31-30 home record and a 53-69 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.66, Homer Bailey has a 2-1 record and a 1.37 WHIP. He has 27 strikeouts over the 19.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 21 hits. He has allowed 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.28. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.95 and they have given up 421 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 405 times and walking 228 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.07 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.71 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.91. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,098 base knocks and 595 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 194 home runs this year and they give up 1.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 489 hitters and struck out 933. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 5.26.

As a team, they are batting .249, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .253 average at home. The Reds hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.39 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .307 and he has an OBP of .433. He has 125 hits this year along with 78 runs scored and 68 RBI. He's struck out 106 times and has walked on 90 occasions. Zack Cozart is hitting .263 and he has an OBP of .313. He has collected 109 hits so far while he's scored 61 runs and drove in 46. He has earned a walk 30 times and has punched out 71 times. The Reds as a unit have 1,023 base hits, including 205 doubles and 134 homers. They have 110 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 37 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 344 times this year and they have struck out 995 times. They've had 725 men left on base and have an OPS of .717. They score 4.49 runs per game and have totaled 548 runs so far this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 57-58-8 against the over/under so far this season

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 54-69-0 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 67-45-10 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 66-56-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Los Angeles Dodgers

08/21/16 P Brett Anderson Finger "?" for next scheduled start
08/15/16 P Josh Ravin Tricep 15-day DL (8/14)
08/14/16 P Brandon McCarthy Hip 15-day DL (8/14)
08/10/16 LF Scott Van Slyke Wrist 15-day DL (8/8)
08/07/16 P Rich Hill Finger 15-day DL (7/20)
08/04/16 P Louis Coleman Shoulder 15-day DL (8/3)
07/21/16 P Chris Hatcher Oblique 60-day DL (7/20)
07/19/16 P Hyun-Jin Ryu Elbow 15-day DL (7/9)
07/16/16 LF Trayce Thompson Back 60-day DL (7/10)
06/30/16 P Clayton Kershaw Back 60-day DL (6/27)
05/31/16 P Alex Wood Tricep 60-day DL (5/31)
05/24/16 P Chin-Hui Tsao Tricep 60-day DL (5/22)
04/23/16 P Yimi Garcia Bicep 60-day DL (4/23)
03/31/16 LF Andre Ethier Leg 60-day DL (3/25)

Cincinnati Reds

08/21/16 SS Zack Cozart Knee is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
08/04/16 P A.J. Morris Shoulder 15-day DL (6/16)
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/22)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)

Tony's Pick: Take the Dodgers

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