Sunday, May 1, 2016

Target Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Mike Pelfrey vs. Ricky Nolasco

The Detroit Tigers visit Target Field on Sunday to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Mike Pelfrey for the Tigers and Ricky Nolasco for the Twins. The Tigers have a 15-7-0 over/under record and a 13-9-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 59% of the time. The Twins are 11-12-0 against the run line and have a 10-12-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.

The Tigers head into this matchup with a 12-10 record, including 7-4 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Pelfrey has a 0-4 record with an earned run average of 4.64 and a WHIP of 1.92. He has 9 strikeouts over his 21.1 innings pitched and he has given up 29 hits so far this season. He has allowed 12.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.75. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.92 and they have given up 74 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the bullpen while being struck out 56 times and walking 21 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.18 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.03 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 3.81. The Tigers pitchers have collectively given up 200 base hits and 83 earned runs. They have allowed 18 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a pitching staff has walked 76 batters and struck out 153. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 3.92.

As a team, Detroit is batting .268, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .284 average away from home. The Tigers hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.32 hits per game. Miguel Cabrera comes into this game hitting .271 and his on-base percentage is at .340. He has 23 hits this season along with 12 runs scored and 12 runs batted in. He's struck out 17 times and has walked 9 times. Ian Kinsler is hitting .344 and he has an on-base percentage of .388. He has totaled 31 hits so far while scoring 21 runs and he's driven in 13. He has walked 6 times and has struck out 17 times. The Tigers have 205 hits, including 36 doubles and 28 home runs. They've stolen 5 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 3 times. Detroit has walked 63 times this season and they've struck out 193 times as a unit. They've left 151 men on base and have a team OPS of .755. They score 4.77 runs per contest and have scored a total of 105 runs so far this year.

Minnesota comes into this matchup with a 6-6 home record and a 7-16 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.25, Ricky Nolasco has a 1-0 record and a 0.90 WHIP. He has 24 strikeouts over the 27.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 22 hits. He has allowed 7.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.08. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.39 and they have given up 80 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 84 times and walking 34 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 9.29 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.89 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.10. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 213 base knocks and 94 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 26 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 73 hitters and struck out 181. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.10.

As a team, they are batting .241, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .255 average at home. The Twins hold a .382 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.3 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .313 and he has an OBP of .451. He has 25 hits this year along with 8 runs scored and 7 RBI. He's struck out 9 times and has walked on 20 occasions. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .382 and he has an OBP of .426. He has collected 21 hits so far while he's scored 9 runs and drove in 8. He has earned a walk 2 times and has punched out 9 times. The Twins as a unit have 191 base hits, including 44 doubles and 20 homers. They have 14 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 78 times this year and they have struck out 210 times. They've had 179 men left on base and have an OPS of .694. They score 3.43 runs per game and have totaled 79 runs so far this season.

Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers are 15-7-0 against the over/under so far this season

The Detroit Tigers are 13-9-0 against the run line so far this season

Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 10-12-1 against the over/under so far this season

The Minnesota Twins are 11-12-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Detroit Tigers

04/28/16 P Shane Greene Finger 15-day DL (4/25)
04/12/16 C James McCann Ankle 15-day DL (4/12)
04/04/16 CF Cameron Maybin Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Daniel Norris Back 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)

Minnesota Twins

04/27/16 P Ervin Santana Back 15-day DL (4/20)
04/27/16 P Kyle Gibson Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
04/18/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Side 15-day DL (4/18)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 15-day DL (4/11)

Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers

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